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Picks of the Day Submitted by You!
Sunday, August 17, 2014
Today, we’re back to Saratoga with FREE PICKS and ANALYSIS from guest handicapper, Mackenzie Kirker-Head (@mackenziejanek).
Mackenzie is trying her hand in the guest ‘capping game for the first time. She works for Trakus, and as you’ll note from her writeup, she really knows her stuff. We’re excited to have her aboard today!
When you get a moment, give Mackenzie a follow on Twitter. Good luck today!
#9 Queen’s Parade is coming in off of two strong races and is the deserved favorite. She should be able to get the distance and her best effort should be able to beat this field.
Not much speed in the race makes it hard for #2 Go Olivia Go to close. Pace sets up more for #3 Matching Skies or #5 Rettalfa who steps up in class but did earn her career best beyer in her last start. Matching Skies drops down in class and with her best effort may come out on top.
Wesley Ward’s #7 Cool Comfort ran greenly but well in his first start and with one race under his belt should improve. #9 Tammy the Torpedo has been working well for Chad Brown who has great starts with first time starters and a high win percentage when teamed up with jockey Joel Rosario. #3 Amy’s Image is a shoe in with Pletcher batting at 30% winners from maidens in their second start. #2 Mrakeb’s dam was a stakes winner and her second dam was second in the Group 1 1000 Guineas in Britain, the quality is there. Worth noting that #1 Sweet Maya ran second to recent Adirondack winner Cavorting in her first and only start.
#3 Madaket Millie is the speed of the race and was very game in her first try on dirt in her last outing when she was third by a neck to multiple graded stakes placed Got Lucky at Saratoga. #1 Unbridled Explosion actually beat her in that race and has been running consecutively better races in each start. #4 House Rules is running for The Chief under his son’s name, and while she brought a lot of hype with her in the beginning of the year and is MGSP, her last two races have not been very good. If she gets a ground saving trip she should run better.
Super Saver’s babies have been firing (21% winners with 2yo first time starters) and Back Flip may very well follow the trend for the super Pletcher/Velazquez operation. #2 Ring Knocker ran freakishly well for Tom Albertrani in his first start as Albertrani does not have a good record with first time starters. Nagzilla is coming in off of a few bullet workouts down at Churchill and his sire Speightstown is 13% with 2yo FTS.
#2 Vecino broke his maiden going this distance on the turf last out for Michael Matz who has been having a successful meet. Looks to be a legitimate threat if he can sneak away with the lead. #7 Ogermeister did not run well in his only turf start but tries it again and returns to blinkers, should improve.
#3 Ready’s Legend drops in class and gains Castellano for the ride. #8 Chow Fun also drops and has two wins at this distance over the turf. #2 had the best race of her career last time out when she was claimed away from George Weaver and looks to be the only legitimate speed of the race.
#6 Evening Show has run consistently well at this distance and has Joel aboard again who has teamed of successfully with trainer Steve Klesaris. #1 Discreetly Elusive drops out of stakes company. Two back she ran huge and easily, looks to return to that form. #8 Our Amazing Rose has had an ambitious campaign so far and looks to get her confidence back. She has won over this track before in her only start here, and gets blinkers on for the first time.
#1 Alpha has won the Travers and the Woodward here at the Spa and it wouldn’t be wise to question his winning ability on his favorite track. Hasn’t run previously because races haven’t filled, has been training well.#4 Easter Gift needed his last start after a long layoff and Chad Brown is 23% with second start after a 180+ day layoff. #5 Csaba has 10 wins from 22 starts over a fast dirt track and is almost always competitive.
#4 Main Sequence was an impressive winner of the G1 United Nations last out for Graham Motion who knows success with European imports. Has never won at the distance but has the class to get it done. #5 Imagining loves the Spa and can get the distance with AP Indy as his broodmare sire. #7 Twilight Eclipse is a viable contender as well, coming in off of a successful second in the UN and a solid fourth in the 2 mile Belmont Gold Cup.
#3 Breakeven Analysis is coming in off a long layoff for Chad Brown who always has them ready to run. #9 Hines has been running consistently good races and cuts back in distance. #2 Jimmy Fillpot has great turf breeding and should hopefully step up this time around.
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