Picks of the Day Submitted By You!
Sunday, April 28, 2013
Today, we have FREE PICKS at Belmont Park from @JoeT_OnTheSide
Not only is he a good follow on Twitter, he’s also one of the best handicappers I know. Follow along with confidence…
Belmont Race #1 (Picks: 7-4-8-2)
#7 Coalition cuts back to 6F, after getting two tighteners at a mile. He’s one of two horses that have won over the track, and should have plenty of pace to run at in this one. #4 Buckeye Heart should also benefit from a good pace. Drops down a bit for this one with junior Coa aboard. #8 Poised To A Tee seems like the strongest of the speeds, and benefits from being on the outside to decide when to go.
Belmont Race #2 (Picks: 5-6-1-2)
There’s seemingly very little pace in this one, but #5 Cameron Canyon will be the one that can dictate the pace best. If #1 Milesmore breaks from the rail, he can sit off, if he does not that Cornelio should be on the lead by himself. Seems the most dangerous. #6 Gallant Breeze is just coming off his maiden win at MCL 16K. While he could continue to progress, he will likely be too short of a price to confidently back. #1 Milesmore should be close to the pace and has a good chance of getting in the money here.
Early P4 Play: 5,6 w. 2,4,5 w. ALL w. 1,4,9 ($45 Play for $0.50)
Belmont Race #3 (Picks: 2-5-4-1)
#2 Silverette should dictate the pace in this one, and may not face much of a challenge from any of the other potential speedsters. Looking for a confident ride under Rajiv in this one. #5 Expression is a strong contender and has been in very good form as of late. A versatile type that shouldn’t be too far of the pace to make one good run at the leader. #4 Enchante comes in from Maryland has been in several races recently where we’re seeing next out winners. Doesn’t seem to want to win, but is a must use in exotics.
Belmont Race #4 (Picks: 5-2b-3)
Very solid race with some good ones joining us from Fla. #5 Wabbajack was scratched from yesterday’s running of the Federico Tesio for this one. Recent works have been solid, and he looks ready for this one after running against some talented horses down at GP. #2b Risky Asset cuts back from the 1 1/8 distance last out on the inner. Might be the most fit of the bunch and stick around for the money. #3 Sneaky Blowout will be the likely favorite for Repole/Pletcher connections, coming out of a very good race and has a great chance of improving.
Belmont Race #5 (Picks: 9-4-2-8)
Love me some 6F turf races at Belmont, though I know there are many traditionalists that do not. I also know that Pat Kelly is a good state-bred turf trainer, and is very capable of putting over a big one. #9 Risky Predicament is the choice for me. They’ve most likely been waiting all winter to get this one on the turf again. Think all of the dirt races on the inner are throw outs, and expect a good run out of this one today. #4 Eddy’s Time is certainly the one to beat. Dropping into state-breds for the first time after running into some very good ones down in Fla. Could easily romp. #2 Scribbling Sarah goes out for the newest addition to the trainer colony, Tom Morley, who you may not know yet, but was an asst. for Eddie Kenneally. You must respect any horse coming from that barn. 1st out on the rail will be tough, but expect this one to be ready.
Belmont Race #6 (Picks: 6-3-7-8)
#6 Queen Nine looks like the only legitimate speed in the race in this one. Might face a bit of pressure outside, but this one should be able to dictate from the start. #3 Rettalfa looks like the strongest challenge, and will have 1st run at the pace setter on the turn. #7 Princes On Thelake showed much more speed last out and could linger to close out the triple.
Belmont Race #7 (Picks: 3-5-11-7)
Another state-bred 6F turf face, the start of an all-turf late P4, and another longshot pick. #3 Midnight Monarch is an interesting play here. Adds blinkers after a poor start last out on the inner at Aqueduct, and moves up in class, despite a lackluster effort last time. I’m leaning towards the positive on this one, and thinking the connections are confident this is the right spot for this one. Should show additional speed with the blinkers added. #5 The Big Deluxe seems like one that will put in a good effort here. In good form recently, and Sciacca already has a win on the turf at the meet. #11 Sunbio is clearly the one with the most upside. Dropping into state-breds for the 1st time. Hard to gauge how much gate speed this one will have after a poor start last out. Concerned that he might have too much running to do late.
Late P4 Play: 3,5,7,11 w. 3,9 w. 3,8,9 w. 1,6,8,10 ($48 Play for $0.50)
Belmont Race #8 (Picks: 9-3-5-2)
What looks like the least appealing race of the day, the #9 Ballistic Sue seems like a very likely winner in this one despite coming in off a layoff. Seems to tower over the rest in the talent category – 1 for 1 over the course, 1 for 1 at the distance. #3 Victoryat Last is the other accomplished horse over the Bel. turf course. While he cuts back to 6F, seems like he’s fit and capable of running a decent one here. #5 Mon Rose might be able to plod along and show up in the money in this one. Her last two on the turf have been decent efforts.
Belmont Race #9 (Picks: 9-3-8-6)
An interesting race with several of the morning line favorites facing some question marks. Because of that, we went to the #9 Ascended Fever, a 3YO who should be a very nice price under little-known Fla. jock Jilver Chamafi. Goes 3rd off the layoff after being eased last out due to saddle troubles. Put two really nice turf races together last fall, with a win coming over this course. Very, very live longshot. #3 Code Red is another nice price. Ran a respectable race last out, but was obviously a bit short after the layoff. Cuts back to 7F today and might get a nice inside trip today. #8 Subtle goes out for strong connections that usually have very live turf horses. However, they have been a bit short on a couple of starters early in the meet, so this one may need a race. Look out for her next one.
Belmont Race #10 (Picks: 6-8-1-10)
In the finale we go to another value play with the #6 City Vice. On paper, this race looks LOADED with speed, and this one seems to be the strongest of the closers. Has put in many efforts over the turf course with just one win to show for it, but the race sets up very nicely for this 8YO. May be a bit of a reach, but should offer the best value. #8 My Donna Jean is another veteran that could benefit from the pace. Should sit outside of the inside pace, and make a run at the top of the stretch. #1 Caution Sign comes in off a claim by Midwest Thoroughbreds and Jamie Ness, who have great numbers off the claim. Can likely sit a good trip on the rail behind the pace, and look for room in the stretch. The #10 Precious Franca is an interesting one in here. They were clearly looking to get this one on the turf last out but got rained off. The surface switch may not help much but could end up also benefitting from the pace inside.