Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Tampa Bay Downs
It’s not quite the excitement of last weekend, but Tampa Bay has a great day of racing on Saturday. There’s an 11-race card, including the Pelican Stakes and the Minaret Stakes. The first post is scheduled for 12:45 PM EST.
To help you out with all the action, we’ve got Elaine Daniels (@edan1962) providing free picks & analysis in her second season of handicapping on Danonymous Racing.
We encourage you to give Elaine a follow on twitter; she’ll be providing analysis of the great racing at Tampa Bay all meet long.
Good luck to everyone playing along out there!
RACE 1 – Claiming $5,000, F&M 4&up, 6 ½ Furlongs
3 – Scorpion Aly – Has been the post time favorite in his last two races and managed a second and third place finish. Cuts back from seven furlongs.
4 – Cheri’s Win – Mountaineer shipper is new to the barn of trainer Alison Escobar who is looking for her first win of the meet. Drops in class. One strong work on January 5th.
2 – Four Point Zero – Last race on January 10th came after a nearly two year layoff. New trainer adds blinkers and make a jockey change to Bocachica.
RACE 2 – Claiming $10,000, 4&up, 6 Furlongs
3 – JB Quick – First off the claim for Gerald Bennett who give Jose Bracho the call.
8 – Abie – Juan Arriagada wins at 27% when his horses are coming off a win.
1 – Phish Fan – Has won as the favorite in two races at this meet. Gets Centeno.
RACE 3 – Maiden Claiming $8,000, 4&up, 6 ½ Furlongs
4 – Teenerton Prince – Four of five in the money at Tampa. Trainer Sweezey is winning maiden claiming at the rate of 23%. Cuts back to a distance for which he has the best Tomlinson in the field.
2 – Silberado – Aqueduct shipper takes a class drop. Gets jockey Jose Bracho. Cuts back to a sprint.
6 – Mojo Rising – This six year old Malibu Moon gelding was purchased for $435,000 and has career earnings of $20,669. Tries a dirt sprint for the first time.
RACE 4 – MSW $22,000, 3&up, 1 1/16 Miles TURF
8 – Misspent Youth – Earned a nice 71 in her career debut on turf on January 24th. Strong late kick.
3 – Armament – Castanon leaves the 10 House of Cortez to jump aboard the late driving son of War Front who threw in a dud last out but is now second off a layoff.
5 – Proud Native – First time turf route for this Proud Citizen colt. Drops in class and gets Centeno.
RACE 5 – Maiden Claiming $16,000, 3yo, 6 Furlongs
5 – Duke’s Reward – The colts with experience don’t look that impressive so why not try a first time starter. Gerald Bennett is winning at 35% with debut maiden claimers.
6 – Pokerist – Failed as the favorite last two races. Perhaps the class drop does the trick. Has field’s highest lifetime Beyer.
11 – Run Trouble Run – Trainer Wayne Mogge has won 2 of 3 moving from MSW to MCL and wins at 22% in claiming races. May find himself on the lead here.
14 – Dreaming of JC – Must use if the AE by Animal Kingdom draws in.
RACE 6 – Claiming $8,000, 4&up, 6 ½ Furlongs
11 – Call Me Handsome – Stays at same class level but may be getting a softer field on the stretch out. One for one at today’s distance.
9 – Hockey Hall – Second of a layoff for this Woodbine shipper. If Mena can get this gelding rolling out of the gate this time we can expect improvement.
8 – Outstanding Gio – Toss the last race in which he stumbled badly at the start. The 61 Beyer he ran two rans back make him competitive here.
RACE 7 – AOC $32,000, 4&up, 1 1/16 Miles TURF
2 – Toughest ‘Ombre – Positive jockey change to Gallardo. Putting on blinkers is a positive ROI move for Albertrani.
1 – Above the Bar – Miller and Centeno are winning at 43% together. Bullet work on February 10th.
8 – Bombs Away – Gulfstream shipper looking for class relief. Gets Ferrer who’s having a great meet winning at 20%.
RACE 8 – The Pelican Stakes $100,000, 4&up, 6 Furlongs
4 – X Y Jet – Highly talented sprinter by Kantharos, the king of Florida sprinters. Has won 6 of 10 career races at six furlongs.
5 – First Growth – Toss his last race and look for a positive rebound.
7 – Recruiting Ready – This son of Algorithms lost a hot pace duel in South Beach last month. Let’s see if Centeno can keep him from fading.
RACE 9 – MSW $22,000, 3yo fillies, 1 Mile TURF
9 – Nevisian Spirit – This former Chad Brown trainee had trouble his first race on turf. Delacour puts blinkers on and gets apprentice Jose Bracho.
1 – Saucy Dame – Back on turf where she belongs. Top jockey Gallardo keeps the mount.
3 – Key Moment – Drops in class and returns to turf. Bullet work at Payson on January 22nd.
RACE 10 – The Minaret Stakes $50,000, F&M 4&up, 6 Furlongs
3 – Stormy Embrace – Very strong nine lengths plus win last out. From the barn of leading trainer Kathleen O’Connell who is winning at 26%. In the exacta in all three races over the Tampa dirt.
1 – Grand Prix – Hasn’t run since September but has a solid series of workouts, including two bullets, at Tampa. Trainer Keith Nations is quietly having a great meet and sports the same win percentage as leading trainer O’Connell.
11 – Just Be Kind – Only try on dirt was poor, however, she ran an 81 Beyer which equals her lifetime top.
RACE 11 – MSW $22,000, 3yo fillies, 1 Mile TURF
4 – Draconic Treasure – Graham Motion keeps his go to guy Pablo Morales on board. The cut back to a mile may be the change needed to get this Street Cry filly in the winner’s circle.
3 – Petipa – Gio Ponti filly showed dramatic improvement her first try on turf. Best last Timeform late pace figure in the race.
7 – History Made – Strong connections of Arnaud Delacour and Centeno. First time on turf for a Giant’s Causeway filly.
Current Meet: Top Pick Winners: 35 of 112 (31.25%) Bet $224.00/Return $182.80
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