Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Sunday, May 14, 2017
Santa Anita Park
We’re heading out to California on this Sunday afternoon at Santa Anita Park, as we’ve got FREE picks & analysis of the whole card from Spencer Luginbuhl (@handi_capper)!
Spencer previously handicapped Santa Anita action on shapperdacapper.com, and we’re happy to have him as the newest member of the Danonymous Racing team! Give him a follow on twitter when you can.
Take it away, Spencer!
Special thanks to John for letting me continue my dream of giving my picks as a public handicapper
Use my top 2 picks in multi-race wagers bottom picks are used in filling out trifectas and exactas vertical wagers
#5 Excessive Kid: This six year old improved last time out when in for the claim at the 32K level. I like his numbers at the distance and the track. Doesn’t get much speed to run at in this one. I’m hoping Desormeaux can save some ground and get the speed late.
#1 Kenjisstorm: The possible lone speed in this one gives him a good pace advantage. Trainer Richard Baltas and jock Flavien Prat are hitting on all cylinders this meet but are only 6% together in a 31 horse sample
#2 Royal Albert Hall: He was never winning at the one-mile distance. This son of Royal Applause seems to need all the distance he can get. With 13 combined place and show finishes, he seems perfect to fill out the exacta.
#3 Monterey Shale: This son of Hard Spun took a ton of money when on debut for the Gary Stute. He gets some stamina from that last route race and looks dangerous as the controlling speed looks to be a speed and fade type. Should sit the perfect trip and will need to hold off our second choice in the race.
#1 Picture Tube: This five-year-old gelding has been on the improve over his last four races for this trainer who has been cold to start the year. I don’t know if he has another forward move in him if he does he will be tough to beat.
#5: Specimen: After running two back to back low seventy buyers and just missing at this level. Afterward, there came a long layoff and a significant decline in Beyers, don’t know how much he can improve second off the layoff as trainer Gary Mandella is 0-9 with these types.
will try to survive with these two in multis
#5 My Party Girl: Nice debut for this daughter of Harlan’s Holiday. Likely improvement second time out for a top barn might have other running for second prize money.
#3 Vegastruck: Another second-time starter who already had a winner come out of her last race, that one did have to drop to get the win. 0-31 jockey hopefully helps our price.
#5 Kenda: This daughter of Bodemeister ran a very quick maiden breaker in her last start as those fractions were very fast up front. Doesn’t need much to improve and win in her first aginst winners.
#6 Dreamy Gal: the other D’Amato in this race ran an ok race off the bench in her three-year-old debut. Might be the main pace in this race and can wire this field at an excellent price.
#4 Madam Dancealot: This vulnerable favorite is coming off a decent sized layoff in a move that trainer Richard Baltas is 0-9. Just based on price alone not willing to take at a low price.
#1 London Legacy: This son of Grace Upon Grace has been improving steadily in Beyer’s, and the small drop doesn’t scare me. Look for him to sit the perfect trip behind the speeds in the pocket and win this rematch with others from his last race.
#5 Ankeny Hill: The winner of his race one back and faces a few from that race here. The only thing that scares me was the significant drop and now no rise in class. Use at your risk
#4 Pat The Bear: This is my perfect type of horse that I think will hit the board. He is 50% in the money at this track. With a race under his belt looking for a forward move from this five-year-old Gelding.
#1 Scatterling: This four-year-old filly has the highest last out, Beyer. Now takes a sensible drop and might just overpower these. Having the top turf trainer in your corner can’t hurt right?
#7 Hennessy Storm: This Turf Paradise invader has been in good form of late and might be able to run into exotics. The only pause for concern wish jockey was a little better but can only help our price maybe go up from that 8-1 M.L.
#8 Blondy’s Reward: Very consistent type Beyer-wise on the turf. The Beyer drop off the drop is a negative but only need this one to hit the board.
#6 Faypien: This 720K OBS Purchase won like a good thing in her last start stretching out to today’s distance. The winner of the debut was the favorite for the Kentucky Oaks this past weekend, and we know how good she is. Trainer Bob Baffert knows how to get these types ready, and I’m not worried about a bounce here.
#4 Selcourt: Improving Beyers slowly but surely doesn’t have the big bounce factor like our top choice. Don’t try and get cute beating this horse even if she is a short price. She has been working well waiting for this assignment.
#2 Queen Laila: This daughter of The Factor won well stalking the pace in her debut. if she can improve second time out for a dangerous barn, maybe she repeats.
#2 Sudden Sam: This son of Tribal Rule won his only race down the hill at Santa Anita, and that’s always a good angle. Beyers further down the page fit well with these hoping to get a bit of a price to start the late double.
#4 Hay Dude: One of my favorite horses. Fires well fresh and will probably go off the favorite in this claimer. Trainer Peter Miller is excellent off long layoffs.
#5 Unusual Fleet: Three improving Beyer’s fits the three and out rule where horses usually decline or bounce on their fourth effort. This six-year-old gelding doesn’t run that well fresh.
#9 Blushing Ann: I went with a first-time starter due to the fact our other contender has some gate problems to work out. This daughter of Street Boss has an excellent gate work and enough works. I think she’s fit enough and Street Boss as a sire hits at 18% with debut runners.
#2 Lea’s Reward: The one to beat in this bottom level claimer need her to get a cleaner trip out of the gate before I can put on top.
#5 Cheyanne Dancer: Gets Lasix and blinkers on plus bug boy for this second race. I get the feeling they are going for broke with the drop to the bottom level.
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