Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, October 6, 2017
We’re in the full swing of things at the Santa Anita fall meet, as today marks the second Friday of their fall meet. First post time is at 1:00 PM PDT.
We’ve got Sebastian Piscuskas (@SeaBass912) providing FREE picks & analysis of the opening day card. Sebastian’s one of our west coast mainstays on the site, and we’re happy to have him covering the action at Santa Anita this meet. Don’t forget to give him a follow on twitter.
Take it away, Sebastian!
Race 1: #5 Southern Treasure drops in class after a solid run when drawn on the rail at Los Al. This will be her second start for Glatt who is hitting at 17% on the year. The Southern Image filly has tactical speed and that will serve her well in her first start over the SA oval. #10 Herunbridledpower is the speed of the contest. Drawn the far outside, the Kafwain filly should have an easy trip in what will be her eighth race over this oval. Trela appears to have this runner feeling good again. They don’t make horses like #7 Smil’n From Above anymore. In what will be her 17th start of the year and 96th overall the Polanco trainee always shows up. She’ll get a piece once again.
Race 2: #4 Coalinga Hills Has hit the board twice in three starts and drops in class off an almost 10 length defeat at Los Al against protected Calbred maidens. The Jones trainee is by a Multiple GI turf miler out of a GI winner. Expect many claims in for this one in addition to an improved performance. #7 Christmas Carol was given a little time after getting eased in the lane around two turns on dirt. The Baltas trainee has run three strong races on turf and gets back on the green stuff, reuniting with Bejarano who was aboard for her debut. #6 Lori’s attitude has one way to go. She’ll be out cutting the fractions and her backers have to hope she won’t quit in the lane as she’s done in almost every downhill race of her career.
Race 3: 3-1-7-5
Race 4: #6 Awesometastic makes her So Cal debut for Baltas off a three-month layoff. When last seen at Churchill the Harlan’s Holiday filly was finishing second by a half-length after taking the lead against Starter 40 foes. Baltas is a 24% trainer with his first-time acquisitions and almost always moves his runners forward. #3 Princess Dorian was forced to alter course around a distressed foe and was cost all chance at the victory. Consider that race as just an effort only and her form brightens considerably. Maldonado will have her close and will give her every chance. #9 Li’l Grazen won an above average Calbred 50k race and gets protected by Carava off that effort. Roman stays aboard the Grazen filly with pace.
Race 5: #4 Brookes All Mine can lead or stalk the pace. Given the stretch out sprinter to her inside I’d be inclined to believe she drops in early behind the leader and sits a perfect covered up trip to the stretch. Hollendorfer is exceptional off the claim. #1 Candy Boss should be winging from the bell. The Twirling Candy filly has led in three races down the hill and should get an uncontested lead if she wants it. #5 Summer Lady runs off the claim for Palma with a strong work over the SA oval to have her primed for this. Despite being only 1-11 over the SA turf the Siberian Summer mare has run several winning races in defeat.
Race 6: #1 Captivate will be gunning from the rail with Prat. Blinkers go on the Puype trainee who sat just off a wicked tempo last time. Looks like the one to catch. #3 Thorpe d’Oro will be prominent early but doesn’t appear fast enough to go with the stretchout sprinter on the rail. Should that one stop, however, the son of Medaglia D’Oro will be right there. #5 Ziconic will win a race eventually. Right? Well, I don’t know. I think he’s no good but hey he’s hit the board. He’ll be coming late if at all.
Race 7: #6 Dangerously Close is the speed of the speed. The Ministers Wild Cat filly set the pace over a slow course at Del Mar and gave way in the lane. The blinkers come off for her return to the scene of her maiden score. Check out her work on September 7. Come and catch her to win. #2 Powder still has a lot of upside. I love the jock change. Her most recent work over this surface was eye-catching. #8 All of a Sudden is a nice filly. She’s at the mercy of the course but if the course is playing fair she’ll be around at the end.
Race 8: #2 Chocolate Coated did not draw into the downhill stake the past weekend but if she did I would have used her. The French trainee has immense upside and has run two strong races over this very course. Stevens has never strayed from her. #8 West Coast Bias should appreciate the cutback in distance. Proctor/Van Dyke are quickly regaining their stride. The Unbridled’s Song filly has moved forward in a big way since relocating to Southern California. #5 Nicarra has run two credible races around two turns this season and cuts back in distance for Cassidy. She’ll be rolling late.
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