Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Sunday, May 13, 2018
Santa Anita Park
There’s 9 great races on the schedule today in Arcadia, California, and we’re happy to have Sebastian Piscuskas (@seabass912) providing his thoughts on the card. Sebastian handicapped Fridays in California for a while, and now he’s back, covering Sundays at Santa Anita. Give him a follow on twitter if you can.
Good luck to everyone playing along out there!
Race 1: #3 Cosa Nostra. I don’t know where to start. Sent off at almost 10/1 last time as a new gelding, Prat put this one in a good spot before finding trouble in the far turn. The comment line completely undersells his trip. He angled out off heels, after being shuffled back in the turn, and was stopped before rerallying and finishing with interest. He wound up 2.5L behind but would certainly have been around at the finish without the trouble. Carava drops him in class and legs up Bejarano. A solid 5f move on 4/26. He looks ready to roll at 10/1. #6 Desolation Sound had a tough trip last time but unfortunately will be overplayed due to his obvious trouble. While bounced around in the far turn and at the top of the stretch, the Super Saver gelding was only so-so when produced. Apprentice Ceballos gets the call and is hungry to prove himself on this circuit. Desolation Sound catches a pretty soft bunch. #9 Haylord dueled himself into submission last time when racing farther. His pace foe cut back to a sprint last week and jogged at the same level so his form holds up. Apprentice Figueroa has looked good so far from a limited sample size.
Race 2: #1 Get Yourself Home ran her race when between horses down the backstretch in her last race. The Good Journey filly showed a little something in the lane when the race was out of reach and gets Bejarano back, who knows her best. The stretchout back to 6f should be good for her and she appears capable enough to overcome the rail draw. #3 Sunrise Royal debuts for Krujac with a solid worktab over at Los Al. The 3yo Informed filly went 59.2 out of the gate May 1 and could strike for an outfit that is typically patient with their young horses.
Race 3: #5 Cinnamon Twist badly spun her wheels in the far turn of her last before kicking it in in the stretch to run away from an overmatched 16k field. Triple jumping in class off the claim for Cerin, who is currently 33% with this move, the 200k OBS April purchase hooks a field loaded with pace and gets a cozy outside draw. #1 Uno Trouble Maker ran away and hid on the lead in her last and returns at the level for Miller. While very versatile, the 2/1 second choice will likely need to use her speed given her rail draw. #3 Avail took on older last time and ran well despite hanging on her wrong lead for much of the stretch. Unfortunately, the form has not held up well, but the class drop is fairly substantial nonetheless.
Race 4: #7 Allaboutmike dueled through soft fractions on the lead before folding in the lane in his first start off a more than five-month layoff. Miller immediately drops this one to win and legs up leading rider Prat. The Hill has been playing to speed of late and that will serve this one well. #6 Skelton Pass earned a big number for his effort at the 20k level and double jumps for new connections while returning in two weeks. The Temple City gelding has a ton of back class but has been very in and out for most of his career. Could score right back.
Race 5: #1 Dee Way To Go ran unbelievably well when spotted right over her head in her last race. Periban brings her back in two weeks and drops her to a more realistic spot. While speedy, a couple others look to be as quick, if not quicker, leaving the apprentice with a lot to do given the rail draw. While appearing up against it she’s one of only a couple in here who have run a respectable race. #5 Cheyenne Dancer has been unseen since setting wicked fractions at Los Al back in July and being subsequently eased. Joe Herrick hasn’t started a horse this year and looks to finally be back on his feet after the San Luis Rey fire. The human in me is rooting for this one to win. Should be winging right off the bench. We have no idea whether the #8 Secret Offer can run. She was sent off at boxcars on debut where she did no running in the lane and shows up four months later in for 20k. She’s a homebred, from a cheap stallion, so connections can place her more aggressively. Her worktab is pretty strong for the level.
Race 6: 1-2-9-5
Race 7: #1 Bird is The Word was a model of consistency in the 3yo grass ranks last year and even ran a fantastic second to Blackjackcat in the Obviously Mile, would move forward to run third in the Breeders’ Cup Mile in his next start. A complete no show in the San Francisco Mile in the first start of his 4yo campaign, Almeida brings the multiple stakes placed Birdstone colt back down south and drops in him in against N2X company. The breeze on May 6th jumps off the page. #6 Mr. Roary has been known to spring upsets in his career. Dropping out of graded company for the first time in almost a full year, Mr. Roary catches a field devoid of pace over the only course he’s ever won over. Gutierrez should have the gelded son of Scat Daddy out on a lonely lead. #5 Beach View needed his last start when making his first start off an almost year layoff at a distance far too short for him. Not embarrassed against a quality bunch, Beach View is at a much more favorable trip today, despite wanting to run further, and looks capable for his second start off the layoff.
Race 8: #7 Awe dropped to bottom last time and just ran around the track while never threatening for the win. Vallejo claimed and immediately gelded this son of Bold Chieftain and returns him at the level. A very potent jockey/trainer combo in addition to a conditioner who excels off the claim. Awe appears well meant today. #6 Saint Dermot has been eased in two straight and drops to bottom for a rebound run. While it appears he could be going the wrong way notice that Kitchingman put the blinkers back on after taking them off before arguably the worst two races of this one’s career. Expect a rebound. #4 Chromium is likely going to try to take these as far as he can. While there’s other pace in this event, none of it is going as well as he is.
Race 9: #5 Amazon Cry followed the winner into the stretch but was no match in his first start off the five-month layoff. The D’Amato trainee can run from anywhere and should be positively suited with the cutback in distance. Franco gets aboard the game Clever Cry maiden who has the best turn of foot of the bunch. Perfectly drawn, it looks like Amazon Cry should get an all-time trip and break his maiden in start nine. (He’s in for the 50k tag this time around opposed to the 40k he was in for in his last start) #4 Impression appears to do his best running on the front end and is drawn on the direct outside of his pace foe. Morey claimed this one two back for 50k and tried to route him on grass but was unsuccessful as the race washed off. The 5yo gelding has hit the board in seven straight and looks well suited to hit the board once again at the very least. #7 Starting Bloc drops in class in his first start in six months. The More Than Ready colt squandered a perfect trip in his last before hitting the bench and has come back with only moderate works. If he has anything to offer he will show it today.
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