Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Sunday, December 31, 2017
Santa Anita Park
Santa Anita will ring out 2017 with a nine-race card, headlined by a full field of 13 in the Blue Norther Stakes. That will go as the finale on the program.
We’ve got Spencer Luginbuhl (@handi_capper) providing thoughts for all the action. Spencer’s been our Southern Californian handicapper for a while now, and we thank Spencer for his picks. Be sure to give him a follow on twitter!
Special thanks to John for letting me continue my dream of giving my picks as a public handicapper
Use my top 2 picks in multi-race wagers bottom picks are used in filling out tris and exactas vertical wagers.
#3 Fly to Mars: The first two races on the turf were excellent breaking the maiden two back and then stretched out to his first route and got tired late missing by a length in third. There’s enough speed in here he will get the first run on the closers with a stalking trip. He did get back to back top Beyers of 86 but being a three-year-old can improve. Trainer Peter Miller is excellent turning them back off a short layoff on turf 24% with a positive R.O.I
#8 El Tovar: This eight-year-old looked to be in career form this summer with four straight 80+ Beyers. Came back in November in a Cal-bred stage race and ran an ok fourth. He loves this track and distance with all career wins coming on this trip and track. Bejarano gets back in the irons today and had a good opening day with a riding double.
#2 Trifecta: This son of Any Given Saturday has been working well for this comeback race needs to show he belongs in this class level (0-4). He won on his debut for the year for 32K. Ran an excellent third while closing from dead last in an allowance race at this track and distance
#7 Secreto Primero: claimed two back and moved up showing a ton of confidence ran a fantastic second just missing by a half-length he hasn’t missed the board in his last four races. Trainer Alfredo Marquez is a chilly 1-61 off these types of layoffs.
#7 Iron Rob: This son of twirling candy comes out of an excellent optional claiming event with one runner coming back to win. He won 2 back at a higher level so the drop today is interesting. He does like this distance and track Trainer Steve Knapp is 20% with a positive R.O.I. in these types of spots.
#1 Bear Skinned: I was back and forth with the top two, but the big difference at a distance was the deciding factor. Trainer Peter Miller is outstanding first off the claim second of these types of layoffs at 25%. He was running excellent, consistent races in Canada and now gets reclaimed off a good race and comes back at the same level for an excellent trainer.
#5 Native Trainer: This closer always seems to be facing just a few horses better and again today he finds a few who beat him in his last few. There is a few with decent speed in here that might be able to set up his closing kick. Trainer Jack Carava is an excellent 29% with a 5$$$ R.O.I. in these spots. the nice improvement in the morning also makes me think we will see a good race
#8 Logan’s Moon: 3 straight races with an 80 Beyer and now takes a drop down the ladder two spots. Jockey and trainer both had doubles on an opening day and they are 23% together. Some negatives are that he is now being dropped below the claiming price he was bought for three races back.
#8 Crimsoned N Clover: the first drop to the bottom was almost a win ran a very nice second and now comes back second off the layoff trainer Mark Rheinford is a small outfit but has excellent numbers in this type of race 25% in maiden claiming races.
#2 Tiffany Diamond: She gets a nice rider upgrade to Roman and the last time she sprinted she ran a huge number 68 Beyer in an MSW race at Del Mar. Trainer Mike Machowsky is a good layoff trainer and excellent at cutbacks hitting at 24% in a 21 horse sample.
#5 Lookingforthewire: Monster workout best of 26 at 5 furlongs this daughter of Giants Causeway might be able to blow up the tote board at 15-1.
#5 Make it a Triple: When horses can move through these lower conditions in few tries, they are the kind of bets I like as these races have a bunch of seconditis horses. This gelding ran a nice second first time at the level has worked for a bunch in the time off. This jock/trainer combo is 42%, and Bejarano has been on for both wins
#1 Ricks Dream: Since breaking the maiden for the lowest tag he has run three more improved races. Both wins are at Los Al, so I need to see him win at another track before I put him on top but he is a must add in multi-race wagers
#4 Gone With It: 26 starts with 15 underneath finishes these type of horses are terrible win bets but great plays in exactas and trifectas. Ran well for 8k at last and had a nice blowout three-furlong work. doesn’t need to improve much to hit the board.
#7 Little Bit lovely: This mare loves the Santa Anita turf course and is also very good at this mile long distance. Trainer Adam Kitchingman isn’t the best switching surfaces or on the turf. She will need to run back to that first race off the layoff but is a nice M.L. price of 9/2
#11 Winner’s Dream: This is more of a coast pick than anything. Trainer David Jacobson 0-26 shipping into Santa Anita but east coast turf horses always seem to outclass their west coasts counterparts
#3 Very Hot: Trainer Craig Dollasse is very good at these types of layoffs she will run back to that good race in June to be a contender.
DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE. PICKS & ANALYSIS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE MERELY OPINIONS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. PICKS DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY SUCCESSFUL OUTCOMES WHATSOEVER. PICKS ARE PROVIDED TO GUIDE YOUR STRATEGY TO PLAYING THE RACES. MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE IN NO WAY INTENDED TO ENCOURAGE GAMBLING. WHERE LEGAL, ALL WAGERS SHOULD BE MADE RESPONSIBLY AND ARE DONE SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.