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Pimlico Picks & Analysis — Friday, May 19, 2017 (Black Eyed-Susan Day)

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Friday, May 19, 2017

Pimlico (Black Eyed-Susan Day)

The focus of the racing world will be on Pimlico on Saturday, but Friday’s card is just as awesome. Pimlico is offering a spectacular fourteen-race program with a bevy of stakes action, headlined by the Black Eyed-Susan Stakes for three-year-old fillies. That race will go as the eleventh of fourteen races.

We’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS of the whole card from me, managing editor John Piassek (@theyreoff). First post is at 11:30 AM EDT. Good luck to everyone playing along!

Race 1: Allowance Optional Claiming (n/w2x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 6 Furlongs
5- Zippity Zoom: Just missed at 4/5 in her last dirt race, with a strong brisnet figure of 88, trainer Linda Rice is 31% going from grass to dirt.
2- Summer House: This Jacobson invader broke slowly and struggled last out over an off track, has early speed from an inside post, strong exotics contender at the least.
4- My Magician: Another one moving from the grass to dirt, has been hung wide in her last few, and now has a post closer to the rail, has the best late pace figures in the field.

Race 2: Allowance Optional Claiming (n/w2x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 5 Furlongs (Grass)
5- Catching Fireflies: Makes her first start since a disappointing try in the Lightning City Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs back in December, had won two in a row at Laurel prior to that, working well at Fair Hill, trainer Delacour sharp with horses off the layoff.
1- Dare to Be: Finished a solid fourth in her first race off the layoff last out, if she improves off that 88 figure in that race, she’s going to be tough to beat.
3- Delphinia: Ships in off a fourth-place finish at Belmont Park, worked a bullet at Keeneland for Wesley Ward last Saturday, broke her maiden with an 87 figure over the grass back in December, lots of room to improve.

Race 3: Allowance (n/w1x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/16 Miles
4- Maximus Beauty: Broke her maiden on Derby day two weeks ago in her second dirt try, stretches out around two turns on the main track for the first time.
7- Indian Paint: Improved throughout the Laurel meet, peaking at an 85 when breaking her maiden last out, looks like a horse who will enjoy more distance, jockey Feargal Lynch had a hot opening weekend.
5- Borino: Defeated Maryland-breds with a great trip last out, will be coming from the back of the pack.

Race 4: Allowance (n/w1x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/8 Miles (Grass)
2- Private Client: Ran a career-high figure of 86 in her first start off a long layoff last out, worked well at Fair Hill on Monday getting ready for this one.
4- Lottie: Finished a disappointing sixth in her 2017 debut at Tampa Bay Downs, will seek a return to her good three-year-old form in her second try of the year.
9- Notapradaprice: Has won four out of her last five races, jockey Nik Juarez figures to be aggressive with this front-running filly, could go gate-to-wire in this largely paceless affair.

Race 5: Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes, 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/8 Miles
3- Mo’Green: A standout on pace and speed figures, won the Top Flight Stakes easily last out at Aqueduct, would not be surprised to see her in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff starting gate at year’s end.
5- Winter: Suffered from an impossibly wide trip last out in the Top Flight, had rattled off three wins in a row at Laurel prior to that, a strong exotics contender.
4- Terra Promessa: Comes of a second-place finish in the Apple Blossom Stakes, was infamously bungled in the Azeri Stakes two races ago, hopes for a clean trip here.

Race 6: Allowance Optional Claiming (n/w2x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/16 Miles (Grass)
6- Outsider Art: Got a good 5 1/2 furlong prep last out, stretches out to her preferred route distance here, takes a step down in class from her stakes-heavy schedule of last year, and should improve second off the layoff.
1- Gone Away: Was caught wide last out and flew late to be fourth, closing style makes her vulnerable to rough trips, but nonetheless has a powerful closing punch and must be respected.
7- Family Meeting: Comes off a win in a Florida-bred stakes at Tampa Bay, lost the Hilltop Stakes by a head over this track last year after coming from twenty-four lengths out of it, ran a big figure there, too.

Race 7: Pimlico Special, 3yo and up, 1 3/16 Miles
1- Dolphus: Looks like the value play of the field, has run at least a 100 in three of his last four races, has the opportunity to get a clear lead from the inside.
6- Shaman Ghost: The Big Cap winner is clearly the class of the field, but will almost certainly be overbet, a must-use in any multi-race wager.
3- Watershed: Won the Ben Ali Stakes at Keeneland decisively last out, figures to come from mid-pack.

Race 8: Hilltop Stakes, 3yo, Fillies, 1 Mile (Grass)
3- Victory to Victory: This filly won the grade 1 Natalama Stakes at Woodbine last September, returned off the bench to win against allowance company at Keeneland last out, will be a deserving favorite.
2- Romantic Music: Improved in each of her three grass races at Tampa Bay this winter, will be on the pace from the inside, interesting longshot possibility.
11- Sweeping Paddy: Led in the stretch of the Edgewood Stakes before tiring, returns off a fourteen-day layoff and hopes for another big effort.

Race 9: Miss Preakness Stakes, 3yo, Fillies, 6 Furlongs
11- Astrollinthepark: Three career wins at three different tracks, most recently won the Allentown Sprint at Mahoning Valley, figures to show speed from the outside, has been improving with each race.
7- Bode’s Dream: Has three stakes wins at distances of six furlongs or less, laid an egg when last seen in the Forward Gal Stakes, working strongly for her return, definitely has a shot to run a big one.
4- Crabcakes: Maryland-bred finished second behind Astrollinthepark last out, with a career-high figure of 94, worked a four-furlong bullet in 46.2 seconds last Thursday.

Race 10: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3yo and up, 5 Furlongs (Grass)
4- Pay Any Price: Gulfstream speedster showed blazing speed in Florida this winter, will try to run away and hide form this 14-horse field.
10- Richard’s Boy: Second against Cal-breds last out, has been running big figures out in California, hopes to transfer that form to the east coast.
8- Uncle Youdge: Ran a “youdge” race last out, blowing away a n/w1x group at Laurel with a career-best 96, a definite longshot contender.

Race 11: Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, 3yo, Fillies, 1 1/8 Miles
5- Lights of Medina: Coming off a big win in the Weber City Miss Stakes, stalking the pace and winning easily, worked strongly last week, the best local hope for a victory.
1- Shimmering Aspen: Makes her first start outside of Laurel and beyond seven furlongs, scored a huge win at this distance last out, will be showing speed from the inside, a victory by the recently un-retired jockey Steve Hamilton would be a great story.
7- Moana: Just broke her maiden at Keeneland, with a big figure of 94, Pletcher/Velazquez combination is dangerous.

Race 12: Allowance (n/w1x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 5 Furlongs (Grass)
5- Lady Allegra: First start off a six-month layoff, trainer Arnaud Delacour hits at 23% with well-rested steeds, has run figures of 86 and 87 in her career, which are two of the best marks in the bunch.
1- Advert: Makes second start off the layoff, was hung very wide last out but still finished third, hopes to save ground here.
8- Arbol: Gets first-time Lasix and has plenty of early speed for her second start off the layoff.

Race 13: Skipat Stakes, 3yo and up, 6 Furlongs
5- Chanteline: Oaklawn invader finished second in the Carousel Stakes last out, ran a 97 and a 98 in her last two races, has tons of early speed and should take this field gate-to-wire.
9- Clipthecouponannie: Was undefeated in four races before finishing third in the Distaff Stakes at Aqueduct last out, ran a career-best 96 despite that, looks to stalk the leaders and pounce.
8- Pleasant Tales: Another one that has been showing improving form, finished fourth behind Chanteline two races ago.

Race 14: Maiden Special Weight, 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/16 Miles (Grass)
11- Fuerza: Makes third start off the layoff for Matz and Castellano, has not finished worse than third in three career starts.
5- Dazzle: Any Motion-McCarthy horse on the Maryland grass is a dangerous one, ran well in her debut at Tampa Bay, but struggled second time out.
8– Head For the Shore: Made a strong closing rally from far back to finish third last out, has hit the board in her last three races, and is an improving filly.


cover photo: Dottie Miller

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