Picks for Gulfstream Park – Thursday, March 21, 2013

If filling out a bunch of brackets and watching basketball all day isn’t your thing, we put together some selections today at Gulfstream Park. As always, the picks are FREE and we’ve included analysis for some of our top picks.

Note: Use caution with the Early Pick 4. It’s worth playing today because of the larger, evenly matched fields in just about every leg. My suggested plays are just that — suggestions. If you’re going to play, modify my ticket, if necessary, to make it work for you and your budget.

BEST BET

Race 2: #5 Starship Final (6-1 ML)

Read through analysis of races below if you’re looking for other nice horses at bigger prices!

EXOTIC PLAY

Race 2: Pick 4 (2-3-5/1-3-4-5-6-8/4-10/3-5-8) ($54) or (2-3-5-9/1-8/4-7-8-10-11/3-5-8) ($60)

Individual Race Selections

Race 1: 1-5-3-11

Race 2: 5-2-9-3

You have to go back to November to find the last time #5 Starship Final got the distance and surface scenario facing him today. That race also happened to be one of his finest, second best in a $16k maiden event. He again looks to break his maiden today in $12k company and could flash speed. Small barn has hit with one of two horses first off the claim.

Race 3: 1-8-3-5

Race 4: 4-10-11-8-7

Live-looking first time starters make this race pretty tough but if you’re looking for a nice long shot, take a close look at #4 Channel Eleven (10-1). She drops out of special weight company while adding distance, which seems potentially beneficial. She passed a few tired horses in the debut at 5f and has had excuses – lost irons two back and clearly didn’t like the slop last out. Strong chance to improve and worth a WPS play at healthy odds.

Race 5: 3-8-5-1

Race 6: 2-4-1-9

This race was originally loaded with speed and I thought it set up best for #2 New Englander. Five scratches later, there isn’t as much speed in here but I still think New Englander can still sit a comfortable rail trip and fire late. Not only does this 8-year-old have tactical speed, she seems to enjoy going this distance and comes in fresh off a claim and layoff for a barn that scores high in both respects.

Race 7: 2-7-11-3

Race 8: 2-4-1-7

Race 9: 2-5-10-3-8

In this very competitive race, I landed on #2 Professor Palmer. Would’ve liked to see Bravo aboard, rather than jumping on #3 Lemon View (who seems to be an inferior horse at the moment) but Professor Palmer still brings a lot to the table. He certainly enjoys this Turf course and he also has 2 wins and another in the money finish from 4 starts at this distance. I do have some class concerns though. If you’re like for a bigger price, check out #5 Saint of Saints. Raced only once on the turf, he finished a well placed 4th after some trip trouble in that effort last out. Romans hits 22% off the layoff, Rosario gets the mount and if this guy is anywhere near the 8-1 listed ML, he’s well worth a WPS play. Certainly one to include in all verticals.

Race 10: 9-6-7-3

Good luck!

As always, I went looking for long shots on today’s card and I tend to handicap with value in mind. So, if you like a favorite that I haven’t listed, you might want to keep the horse in combinations with my selections.

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