Melbourne Cup Runner by Runner Analysis
By Stephen Wong
Our international handicapper Stephen Wong has provided runner by runner analysis to consider before playing the 2015 Melbourne Cup. Post time is 11:00 PM Eastern . We thank Stephen for his research and analysis.
Beat Brown Panther over 2816m in the Yorkshire Cup in May. Resumed with a modest effort in the Caulfield Cup and should strip fitter second-up.
Has plenty of class as evidenced by his Australian Derby win and runner-up effort in the Cox Plate but the two miles is a query.
Unlucky not to beat Gold Ship the Tenno Sho after he was held up in the run. Resumed with a sound effort in the Caulfield Cup. Genuine stayer who needs the two miles and will strip fitter second-up. The one to beat.
Has two Group One wins to his credit in Germany and he loomed up in the Caulfield Cup before his fitness gave out late. Likely improver.
Defeated Trip to Paris in the Goodwood Cup two starts back and should be prominent again. Prepared to risk with the poor draw.
Won the BMW convincingly last preparation and he worked home well enough in the Cox Plate. Expect him to outrun his odds.
Wasn’t far away in the Tenno Sho but he was a bit one paced in the Caulfield Cup. Has yet to win beyond 2600m.
Much of his recent form has been over hurdles but he showed decent turn of foot in his Lonsdale Cup win and he worked okay here last Tuesday.
Three-time runner-up who saves his best for Flemington. Disappointed both runs this time in but he drops 2kg this year.
Trip To Paris
Saved ground in the Caulfield Cup when he kept grinding to the line. Perhaps a place.
Who Shot Thebarman
Finished third behind Protectionist last year and has been kept ticking over this preparation. More depth here.
2013 French Derby runner-up who beat Eagle Top home in the Legacy Cup at Newbury. Other have stronger claims.
There was plenty of merit to his Bendigo Cup win last time but his best form is over wet tracks.
Sydney Cup winner who was finishing strongly in the Caulfield Cup before he was checked at a vital stage. Keep safe.
Talented galloper who is undefeated at Flemington, winning the Victoria Derby and Turnbull Stakes. Bred to run out the two miles and rates highly.
Quest For More
Goodwood Cup runner-up who weakened tamely after racing handily in the Geelong Cup. Drawn poorly but better suited back over this distance.
Surged late to land the Geelong Cup in impressive fashion. Geelong Cup winners have a solid record in the race with Americain and Dundaden the most recent winners.
Finished second behind Caulfield Cup runner-up Trip to Paris in the Ascot Gold Cup but he was soundly beaten in both runs since. Looking elsewhere.
Prince of Penzance
Led them up in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup before he was overhauled by The United States late. He has an excellent record at Flemington but this is much harder.
Capable four-year-old who stayed on strongly behind Simple Verse in the St. Leger. Makes just his sixth career start and appears well-treated at the weights.
Looked a shadow of his former self when he made little impression in both the Herbert Power and Geelong Cup. Up against it.
The United States
Broke the course record when he stormed home to land the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. On the up and should be included among the better prospects.
Secured a run by winning the Lexus on Saturday and surviving a protest. Pedigree suggests the distance won’t be an issue. Expect him to be competitive.
Gust Of Wind
Beat subsequent Cox Plate winner Winx in the Australian Oaks last preparation and she held her ground in the Caulfield Cup. Carries just 51kg but she’s untried over the two miles.
3 Fame Game
22 The United States
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