Maryland Million Day Picks & Analysis — Saturday, October 18, 2014

Picks & Analysis

Maryland Million Day at Laurel Park

Saturday, October 18, 2014

 

Race 1

$100,000 Maryland Million Nursery

Top Selection: #5 Golden Years

Son of all-time Maryland Million leading sire Not For Love, this 2-year-old won with authority on debut. The runner up finisher from that race came back to win by 3 1/2 lengths next out. Should be on or near the lead from the break.

Others to consider: #1 Awol, #3 Markakis, #7 Bullheaded Boy

 Race 2

$100,000 Maryland Million Distaff Handicap

Top Selection: #3 Classy Coco

In a race loaded with speed, this filly should run into a great pace setup and rally late for the win. Top track jockey Trevor McCarthy rides for Bernard Houghton, whose horses score a solid 20% second off the layoff.

Others to consider: #2 Steady N Love, #8 Jonesin for Jerry, #1 Inspired Say Eye

Race 3

$50,000 Maiden Special Weight

Top Selection: #4 Pauline’s Pride

Filly stretches out for her second career start after rallying nicely first out for breeder/owner/trainer Gretchen Mobberly. Horse should like the added ground and we’re looking at a fat 12-1 price on the morning line.

Others to consider: #9 Outwit, #11 For Finery, #2 Jar of Hearts

Race 4

$100,000 Maryland Million Sprint Handicap

Top Selection: #8 Tujoes

Oldest horse in the field looks sneaky in this spot for trainer Keith Lebarron, who’s hitting at 23% on the year but hasn’t shipped any to Laurel. Tujoes has the back-class to pull this off and draws nicely outside of some speed.

Others to consider: #4 Javerre, #2 Avarice, #6 Shirakuma

Race 5

$125,000 Maryland Million Ladies

Top Selection: #6 Monster Sleeping

Tied for the all-time wins record on Maryland Million Day, trainer Dale Capuano sends out Monster Sleeping, looking for her second consecutive Maryland Million Ladies victory. #4 Devilish Love looms a bigger threat than anyone she faced in this race last year but sticking with Monster Sleeping based on her success over the course.

Others to consider: #4 Devilish Love, #3 Pagan Priestess, #8 Jerry Love

Race 6

$50,000 Maryland Million Starter Handicap

Top Selection: #14 Regal Warrior

Going to take a shot with a bomb here, in what looks like a wide open race. Would prefer to not use a horse in the 14 post but Regal Warrior’s best two races in the past year have been over course and distance. Apprentice Angel Cruz, who has had a really nice meet, is up for the first time for steady local trainer Claudio Gonzalez.

Others to consider: #1 Stolen Love, #12 The Camden Comet, #8 True Compass

Race 7

$50,000 Maiden Special Weight

Top Selection: #7 Admirals War Chest

Horse ran deceptively well in his turf debut last out. If he can clear to the lead and save more ground than he did last time, Admirals War Chest should be pretty tough to catch.

Others to consider: #10 Zoo, #1 Phlash Phelps, #6 Pitch ‘nPutt

Race 8

$100,000 Maryland Million Lassie

Top Selection: #10 Rocky Policy

Looks like there’s plenty of speed signed up for this race and Rocky Policy has won from well off the pace with a late surge. Small barn strikes at a pretty steady rate and looks like one who might offer some value here.

Others to consider: #5 Rockin Jojo, #2 Miss Bullistic, #9 My Magician

Race 9

$125,000 Maryland Million Turf

Top Selection: #7 Loves Last Chance

Most of the money in this race will be bet on two horses: #2 Ben’s Cat and two-time defending Maryland Million Turf winner #9 Roadhog. Both horses are logical and figure to finish in the top four. However, you’ve got to like the progression, not to mention the 15-1 morning line, on Loves Last Chance. Horse turned the corner going a mile at Saratoga and looked great in a first level allowance win here at Laurel last out. Respect trainer Graham Motion, who regularly scores in turf stakes like this one.

Others to consider: #9 Roadhog, #3 Tru Greek, #2 Ben’s Cat

Race 10

$150,000 Maryland Million Classic

Top Selection: #3 Eighttofasttocatch

This is one short-priced favorite we’re not going to play against. Eighttofasttocatch is easily the classiest and fastest horse in this field. Looks like #2 Connemara Coast could pester him for a while but don’t see that one being able to hang late. Look for a closer at a big price to round out your exacta.

Others to consider: #7 Wild Louis, #6 Irish Lion, #5 Turbin

Race 11

$50,000 Maryland Million Distaff Starter Handicap

Top Selection: #3 Lucy Boo

Going to call the Tim Keefe-Forest Boyce late double and go with a horse in the finale who can certainly improve on the switch back to the dirt at Laurel, over which she broke her maiden. Her form has been a bit off but she’s been facing tougher than most of these. We should get a square price here.

Other to consider: #9 Aix En Provence, #2 Wild for Love, #10 Printasticat

 

 

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