Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, October 7, 2017
Laurel begins a four-day racing week this week, and as such the programs are a little shorter than usual. In contrast to the 12-race cards of the past four Saturdays, today’s card only has ten races. Nevertheless, there’s still plenty of great racing on tap. First post time is 1:10 PM EDT.
We’ve got myself, managing editor John Piassek (@theyreoff) providing thoughts on the all 12 races. Be sure to check out my twitter feed, This Week at Laurel (@ThisweekatLRL), for updates throughout the card.
Good luck to everyone playing along!
Race 1: Claiming $5,000, 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 7 Furlongs
3- Little Caton: Cuts back in distance from 1 1/16 miles and has come in the top two in her last four races. Consistently runs brisnet figures faster than anyone else, runs for a hot barn in Kieron Magee’s.
1- Stormy Mama: Finished fourth at this level after a rough trip last out, narrowly missed versus similar three back with a sharp brisnet figure of 78.
4- Wildcat Gaze: Seeks to rebound off a poor effort at Timonium last out, had run well in the two starts prior.
Race 2: Claiming $10,000 (n/w2L), 3yo and up, 5 1/2 Furlongs
6- Union Blues: Makes first start off the claim for Magee, and has worked very well since a runner-up effort at Timonium last out. Looks much the best of a very mediocre lot.
8- Envision Success: Ships in from Penn National after running second in what proved a decent n/w2L group. Jockey Steve Hamilton is currently in 2nd place in the jockey standings, and gets aboard this one for the first time.
7- Cherokee Spirit: He’s been dull in his last two starts, losing by a combined 24 1/2 lengths. He showed promising form over the summer, running back-to-back figures of 77 and 78. Jamie Ness hopes to not only get this horse back on track, but also get his first win of the fall meet.
Race 3: Maiden Claiming $16,000, 3yo and up, 1 1/16 Miles (Grass)
1- Black Prong: Made a mild rally to finish third last out versus similar. He’s hit the board in all three of his races. Draws the rail and should get a good trip stalking from the inside.
8- Praise the Moon: Burned a lot of money last out when losing at this level at 4/5. He’ll be coming from far back, as he’s done in every one of his races, and bettors will be hoping his rally is good enough this time.
2- Red Clay Road: Figures to be the most prominent speedster in the field. Of course, he’s never been able to wire a field, but has hit the board in two of his last three.
Race 4: Claiming $10,000 (n/w3L), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 7 Furlongs
4- Ask Me I Might: Lost a tough stretch duel last out while running a great figure of 78. Now cuts back in distance from a mile and figures to be forwardly placed. Trainer Anthony Farrior is 29% with horses making their second start under his care.
8- A J’s Amex: Delaware invader was a half-length away from winning her third in a row last out. She’s not as proven going one turn, and figures to take a lot of money.
5- Aphrodite’s Quest: Earned figures as high as 84 earlier in the year, led and held on well for 2nd in most recent dirt start. Jockey Carlos Carrasco is still looking for his first win of the meet.
Race 5: Claiming $16,000 (n/w2L), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Grass)
10- Linda Nin: Had a brutal post last out and was caught wide, but still wound up running fourth with a career-high figure of 78. May have a rough go of things once again, but ideally will break well and try to save as much ground as possible.
11- Royal Brown: Broke her maiden going gate-to-wire last out. Gets one of the best jocks here, in Alex Cintron, and has been getting better at holding on late every time out.
1- Alyssa and a Lisa: Showed a new dimension last out, by closing from far back and breaking her maiden at 19/1. Figures of 72 and 74 in her last two make her an interesting longshot possibility.
Race 6: Maiden Claiming $40,000, 3yo and up, 6 Furlongs
3- Playwright: Ran a decent 82 in his first race off a long layoff last out. Worked four furlongs in a strong 48 seconds back on Sunday. Look for some improvement in his second race off the bench.
4- Bilko: Finished third in a fairly salty maiden claiming group last out, after falling behind and rallying wide. Looks to improve second time out.
7- Valyrian: He was well-bet on debut last out, showed early speed and wound up fourth. Has worked well since then and figures to be forwardly placed once again.
Race 7: Claiming $15,000, 3yo and up, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Grass)
2- The Great Provider: Battled hard after setting a very fast early pace last out, and wound up falling short by a neck, earning a big figure of 89. Ran a 94 two grass races back while wiring an $11,000 group.
4- Silent Tale: Will challenge The Great Provider for the early lead, comes off a gate-to-wire score at Delaware Park. Figures a cut below The Great Provider’s, but has shown the ability to hang in there late, so don’t disregard for the exotics.
11- Where’s Dominic: Made a four-wide sweep to outfinish The Great Provider last out. He ran a big figure of 94, but that was the highest number he had earned in some time. Wondering if he can duplicate it.
Race 8: Maiden Claiming $40,000, 2yo, 6 Furlongs
10- Broad Surprise: Rallied from far out of it last out to finish third in his debut, drops down to maiden claimers from maiden special weight, the clear-cut choice.
1- Nico Bree N Teej: Went off as the 3/5 favorite on debut back in July and lost by 2 1/2 lengths, returns for the first time since that race, has had a string of strong works since then.
7- Loves Last Dash: Gets Lasix for the first time, earned a 73 when finishing third after a brutally wide trip in his debut.
Race 9: Starter Optional Claiming $25,000, 3yo and up, 1 1/16 Miles (Grass)
3- Kid Jeter: 1-for-22 mark is cause for pause, but did finish a solid second versus similar last out. He’s run figures in the 80s several times this year already, similar performance today would give him the victory.
14- Bombonero: Didn’t finish too far behind Kid Jeter last out, worked a 4-furlong bullet at Fair Hill recently, broke his maiden with a sharp figure of 77 two races ago at Delaware.
2- Bungalow: Impressive gate-to-wire win helped him break his maiden last out, jockey Franklin Ceballos has quietly racked up three wins at the meet, trainer Gonzalez of course has one of the hottest hands of the season.
Race 10: Maiden Claiming $40,000, 2yo, Fillies, 1 Mile (Grass)
5- War Tweet: She’s finished second and third in two lifetime starts, last race where she lost against similar at 6/5 odds is mildly concerning.
6- Greasedlightning: Makes her grass debut here, showed promise when losing by two lengths against maidens on dirt last out, gets blinkers on.
11- Child’s Play: Alex Cintron jumps back aboard for a barn that hits at 18% first time on the grass.
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