Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, November 18, 2017
We’re heading out to Laurel, Maryland on this Saturday afternoon, for a nine-race card at Laurel Park! Big fields and good betting opportunities await, with the first race scheduled for 12:30 PM EST. We’ve got myself, managing editor John Piassek (@theyreoff), providing free picks & analysis of all the racing. Also be sure to check out This Week at Laurel (@ThisweekatLRL) for live updates throughout the racing day.
Furthermore, our friends over at the Racing Biz are sponsoring a handicapping contest on Laurel’s card, to raise money for the son of Gary Quill (@HorseRacingNut). Find out all the details, donate, and play along right here:
Race 1: Claiming $10,000 (n/w2L), 3yo and up, 6 Furlongs
9- Wilko’s Goldeneye: After a string of runner-up finishes, he finally broke through two races ago, breaking his maiden impressively and earning a brisnet figure of 83. His figures are very competitive with these, and figures to rate off the leaders on the outside. That running style has been advantageous over this track.
2- Papacho: He’s got a “second-itis” streak going, with three runner-up finishes in his last three dirt races. Delaware shipper runs first off the claim for Michael Gorham, who’s hitting at 22% on the meet. Look for him to be closing from behind.
6- Icelake: Battled for the lead last out, and flattened to finish fourth. Cuts back in distance to 6 furlongs today, ran well at 5 1/2 furlongs in his two races prior.
Race 2: Maiden Claiming $16,000, 2yo, Fillies, 5 1/2 Furlongs
6- Lillard Hall: Earned a respectable 63 figure on debut at Belmont Park two races ago. Last out at Aqueduct, had a rough trip and finished well up the track. Gets some class relief off an eight-day layoff; should have her way with these if she runs back to her first race.
1- Caladonia: Has hit the board twice from four lifetime starts, gets blinkers for the first time, won close battle for second last time, proving that she has some fight in her.
8- Slewzer: First-time starter has been working steadily for very hot trainer Dale Capuano. Draws the outside post, which may prove advantageous.
Race 3: Claiming $5,000, 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 Mile
11- Fleur de Force: She’s hasn’t missed the board in her last four starts, with two victories in that group. Has run at least a 76 in all of those races, which is much better than most in this field are capable of. Trainer Jonathan Maldonado is 28% with horses repeating for the same claiming price.
6- Postino’s Secret: Jersey-bred filly was closing on Fleur de Force last out, but missed by half a length. Distance cutback to 1 1/16 miles does not do her any favors, but should enjoy the long stretch of the one-turn mile races.
1- Sommer Something: After three straight victories at Laurel, she laid an egg in the Maryland Million Distaff Starter, briefly prompting the pace before fading and losing by 23 lengths. Looking for a rebound here.
Race 4: Claiming $16,000, 3yo and up, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Grass)
14- Magician’s Bags: Pressed the pace and tired in his grass debut last out, still earning a very respectable figure of 81. Will be the prime early speed, only question is if he can clear from the outside post.
4- Speedy Slew: The other Trombetta entry, he just got up to win against n/w2L claimers two grass races ago. He usually runs figures in the 70s, and should get a good stalking trip from the inside.
1- Tightly Bridled: He’s been close several times in a row at this level, definitely a strong exotics candidate, but has struggled to cross the wire first.
Race 5: Claiming $10,000, 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 7 Furlongs
8- My Golden Rose: Has hit the board in each of her five starts at Laurel, hasn’t run worse than a 75 in her last seven races. Didn’t do much going a mile last out, but usually runs her best at seven furlongs. Her best would be enough to win this one.
5- Bring Me Answers: Ran a 90 last out when finishing third, which is a lifetime top by ten points. Drops down from the starter optional claiming level, figures to come from the back.
1- African Wildcat: Delaware shipper does her best around two turns. Cuts back to one turn here, is unproven at seven furlongs, but good performances in last two races is encouraging.
Race 6: Starter Optional Claiming $25,000, 3yo and up, 1 1/16 Miles (Grass)
15- Kid Jeter: Had a rough trip last out and was never able to get going. He was second in his prior two races at this level, and while his 1-for-24 record is alarming, he’s nonetheless the fastest horse in the race.
5- Chant David Chant: Deep closer had a wide trip throughout, and wound up fifth with a career-high of 82. Ideally, he’ll be a bit closer to the pace than usual.
4- Bowspirit: Disappointed last out, but lost by a head two races ago with a big figure of 88. Gets another jockey switch to Daniel Centeno.
Race 7: Allowance (n/w1x), 3yo and up, MD-bred, 6 Furlongs
6- Tricky Lion: In his last dirt race, he finished second at 50/1 behind Lewisfield, who came back to beat open company next out. His figure of 88 would probably win this race, if he could duplicate it.
1- Eastern Bay: He had a good return effort last out, just missing by a neck at this level on the grass. Earlier in the year, he ran figures as high as 84 as a newly-turned three-year-old. Expecting a big effort from him second off the bench.
5- Victory Chimes: Disappointed as the favorite last out after being on the lead. His figures prior to that had all been in the mid-80s, and he’s had a bunch of good workouts since that last race. Looking for a rebound from this front-runner.
Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming (n/w2x), 3yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Grass)
1A- More’n Likely: Won her grass debut very easily, stalking the pace and drawing off to earn a big figure of 87. Trainer Arnaud Delacour has been having a tremendously impressive meet, and already got this filly home to a victory twice in two lifetime races.
10- Sycee: Her form has improved since cutting back to sprints. Drops down from the n/w3x level, won at this level two back at Delaware going gate-to-wire.
7- Summer Frock: Winner of two in a row against lesser at Laurel and Mountaineer Park. She’s hit the board in half of her sixteen races on the grass.
Race 9: Maiden Claiming $10,000, 3yo and up, 6 Furlongs
10- Miss My People: He’s been second in each of his last two races, gets a jockey upgrade to Horacio Karamanos. Ran a 73 in each of his last two races, both promising numbers.
7- Patriot Saint: 0-for-26 record is cause for concern, but he’s been fairly close in his last four races, and ran a solid third first off the layoff last out.
4- Souper Colors: Belmont invader has run as high as 76 in the past. He disappointed in his last two races on the lawn, trainer Michael Trombetta very good with big class droppers.
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