Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, February 25, 2017
After a spectacular winter carnival last Saturday at Laurel, it’s back to the old grind, with picks & analysis from me, managing editor John Piassek (@theyreoff)
Good luck to everyone out there playing along!
Race 1: Claiming $5,000 (n/w2L), 4yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 1 1/16 Miles
2- Street Miz: Stretches out to two turns for the first time, has run best recent races with Lauralea Glaser up, gets that rider once again today, solid third last out when closing from last.
3- Dewdrop’s Heart: Consistently runs in the mid-60s, makes second start off eight-month layoff, earned a career-high brisnet figure of 66 when going two turns at Pimlico back in May.
5- Chapel Gap: Is the expected pacesetter in this field, was in contention until late at 60/1 last out, will get a good value once again here.
Race 2: Claiming $10,000 (n/w2L), 4yo and up, 7 Furlongs
7- Go Bo Go: Has by far the best trainer (Phil Schoenthal) and jockey (Jevian Toledo) in the field, missed by a neck after a wide trip last out, has been knocking on the door with two seconds and a third within his last four starts.
5- Crazy Wild Bill: Returned off long layoff last time and finished third, with a career-high figure of 79, trainer Donald Souder has struggled recently, but does have three winners second off the layoff from twelve tries.
3- Getup Stayup: Cuts back from a mile and seventy yards at Parx, has been second in three out of his last four, gets Trevor McCarthy in debut on Maryland circuit.
Race 3: Claiming $7,500, 4yo and up, 6 Furlongs
5- Cutty Shark: Makes first start off the claim from the Mary Eppler barn, hard-knocking veteran has run at least an 82 in each of his last six races, finished second in 2015 General George, hasn’t won in a while, but always tries hard and looks to have found a level that suits him.
1- Hurler: Won for $5,000 two back with a figure of 90, was a distant second when stepping up to this level last out, has hit the board in sixteen of twenty-six lifetime at Laurel, with a career-high figure of 98.
2- Joe Franklin: Figures to be the pacesetter from near the inside, drops down to lowest level he’s been at in recent times, lost for $10,000 at Parx last out, buyer beware if claiming/betting at low odds.
Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming $25,000, 4yo and up, Fillies and Mares, 6 Furlongs
1- Sazerac Girl: Just missed in each of last three, last two as the favorite, first off the claim for Schoenthal.
4- Bayshore Drive: Broke maiden in ninth career try last out after getting off Turfway Park polytrack, career-high figure of 78 in that dirt effort, trainer Jeremiah O’Dwyer is sharp with shippers.
3- Winner’s Dream: Easily defeated a maiden claiming field on debut at Aqueduct last out, has been stabled at Laurel for a while and runs locally in search of (presumed) easier pickings.
Race 5: Maiden Special Weight, 3yo, Fillies, 6 Furlongs
7- Adios Annie: Was much the best in her debut last out, but wound up second by a length, trainer Gary Capuano is a very good 28% with horses second time out, the one to beat.
3- Saucy Symphony: Lynch first-timer has been working up a storm, and Lynch is 21% with his first-timers, the tote board will tell the story on this filly.
6- Grace Isabella: Ran a solid 82 in her debut last out, worked a bullet in 48.2 seconds last Sunday, lots of room for improvement for sure.
Race 6: Claiming $10,000 (n/w3L), 4yo and up, 5 1/2 Furlongs
3- Ten Hut: Ran a strong 87 in victory three back and an 86 two races ago, always battles in the stretch, hopes to rebound after 1/1 loss last out.
7- Slews Love: Earned a 90 three races ago when sitting a perfect trip, has struggled a little more in his last two, but pace figures remain very encouraging.
1- Magritte: Led almost all the way around last out but lost by a nose, Kieron Magee always a very dangerous claiming trainer.
Race 7: Maiden Claiming $40,000, 3yo, 6 Furlongs
5- Flankenstein: Held on grudgingly until late last out, takes a slight jump up in class here, has run very well at six furlongs versus maiden claimers in the past.
10- Animal Quiet: A rather remarkable horse, as he’s hit the board in all eight career races without winning a race, ran a big figure first off the layoff last out, turned in a bullet workout last Saturday, going four furlongs in 47.3 seconds, the fastest of thirty-five workers.
1- Wandagonenotastray: $20,000 yearling debuted for $30,000 last out at Aqueduct and ran third, ran an even race there, needs to show more punch to win this one.
Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming (n/w3x), 4yo and up, 6 Furlongs
4- Cocked and Loaded: Was hung wide last out and wound up fifth, had been second with figures in the mid-90s in the three starts prior to that, figures to rate off the leaders, Trevor McCarthy rides for the first time.
5- Blu Moon Ace: Tries this level for the second time, ran career-highs in each of her last two.
6- Tale of E Dubai: Took them gate-to-wire last out in his first start off two-month layoff, has been working very well since that last race.
Race 9: Maiden Claiming $10,000, 3yo, Fillies, 1 1/16 Miles
7- All This Jazz: One of the few members of the field with a positive experience going two turns; led briefly in a 1 1/16 miles race for $16,000 back in December, wound up getting caught late and settled for second, ran a career-high 71 in that race, a major threat for sure.
9- Thirst for Diamond: Ships in from Parx, where she’s tried one mile twice, last out wasn’t so good but did OK against $20,000 horses on debut two back, adds blinkers for the first time.
1A- Undaunted Spirit: Second for $16,000 two races ago with a solid figure of 69, stretches out for the first time, trainer Jose Corrales is 19% with that angle.
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