FREE Woodbine Picks & Analysis — Sunday, September 14, 2014

It’s Woodbine Mile Day at Woodbine and we’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS for the entire card!

 

Follow along today on Twitter and we’ll be posting updates, photos and a lot more. Good luck.

 

Race 1: #2 Denim Bay

Drops in from restricted stakes company and cuts back, returning after a year on the bench for Buttigieg. Lost by just a neck when last seen under similar conditions. Likely fast pace up front improves his chances.

Others to consider: #4 Rebellion On Tap, #8 Warbred, #1/1A Tiller Entry 

 

Race 2: #4 Nopalito

Son of Two Step Salsa – an impressive sire of 2-year-olds – was beaten less than a length last out to Conquest Boogaloo. That horse won the Swynford Stakes at Woodbine with ease last week. Like to see Joel Rosario taking the reins for a small but consistent outfit.

Others to consider: #6 Thunder Point, #8 Decision Day, #2 Divine Intrigue

 

Race 3:  #2 My Pet

Horse has plenty of speed from the gate but she was worn out in 4 1/2 furlong sprints back in June. She gets a nice little break and comes back without the blinkers for DiPasquale (29%), a possible indication that a change of tactics is in store.

Others to consider: #7 Dream Brew, #11 Galina Point, #1 Internal Bourbon, (AE) #15 Weekend in Malibu

 

Race 4: #4 The Great Gizmo (BEST BET OF THE DAY)

This horse was absolutely flying in the late stages of his last race, rallying up way wide to finish third while going 6 furlongs. He gets a little more ground to cover in this 7 furlong contest, which should be just what the doctor ordered. He does need a little pace to run into and figures to get it with two horses adding blinkers and the one on the rail sure to gun it.

Others to consider: #11 El Ceebeo, #1 Osuuspankki, #10 Gibbons Gambler

 

Race 5: #2 Local Brew

We’re going to forgive the flop on debut and look for major improvement from this one, going second-out with the addition of blinkers and Lasix for the first time. Race does look wide open and would box several in here in your exotic wagers.

Others to consider: #9 Bold Diamond, #5 Thebarberofbrazil, #6 Playmetheblues

 

Race 6: #2 Reporting Star (LONG SHOT PLAY OF THE DAY)

Parente removes the blinkers (38%), which hopefully helps this one slow it down a little on the front end. Clear pacesetter might not have to work as hard as he did last out when he set the pace, dueled and still fought on gamely for the place spot in the Grade-2 Sky Classic. Stein scores 25% of the time when up for Parente at Woodbine.

Others to consider: #8 Sheikhzayedroad, #4 Karibu Gardens, #1 The Pizza Man 

 

Race 7: #8 Black Bird Rock

Leading jock Patrick Husbands remounts after guiding this mare to victory in a $62,000 optional claiming two races ago. She threw in a clunker when wide last out, facing graded stakes company. She should enjoy the class relief back at this optional claiming level. Also shows a very nice work over the track last week.

Others to consider: #1 Good So Far, #7 Coachella Valley, #5 Dance to the Moon

 

Race 8: #8 Battle for Gold

Horse has two blowout wins over course and distance on his resume. To say he had excuses for a subpar effort last out would be an understatement. Would merit strong consideration if he returned on the grass but seeing him back on the Polytrack with Husbands up makes him impossible to play against.

Others to consider: #11 Lions Bay, #3 D’s Perfect Soul, #4 Sparrowhawk

 

Race 9: #2 Lexie Lou

Considered listing some of the horses beneath as a top selection but can’t make a case with any real conviction against this dazzling Queen’s Plate winner. She’s done nothing wrong in her last three and has repeatedly shown that she’s got plenty of tactical speed. Should be able to save ground on or near the rail, with several expected to set an honest pace in front of her.

Others to consider: #3 Deceptive Vision, #7 Dance Again, #10 Solid Appeal

 

Race 10: #2 Virreina

Filly ran her best races with Emma-Jayne Wilson up back in April. Steady jock returns for this one and the horse seems well spotted while cutting back to a sprinting distance. She was beaten just a nose at this level by Bella’s Rebel back in April. That one not only won next out but has also captured a stakes win since. Worry Virreina might enjoy the runner-up spot too much (she’s finished second in five of her 11 career races) but think she’s drawn nicely and don’t see any other standouts here.

Others to consider: #7 I’m Just Sayin, #5 Milwaukee Red, 8 Natural Blonde

 

Race 11: #9 Jack Milton

The 4-year-old son of War Front ran a strong third in the Grade-2 Fourtstare Dave last out. He didn’t get much daylight in that race and jockey Javier Castellano appeared to be saving him. For what? Presumably this race. Should run into a dream pace setup with #4 Silver Freak and #8 Bobby’s Kitten likely to gun it from the gate, while several others figure to press. Looking for a huge effort from Jack Milton, second off the layoff for Todd Pletcher (27% second-off and 31% with Castellano up). Pletcher looks to add a Ricoh Woodbine Mile to his 1,000-plus career stakes victories.

Others to consider: #5 Kaigun, #7 Lockout, #10 His Race to Win

 

DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE. 

PICKS & ANALYSIS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE MERELY OPINIONS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. PICKS DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY SUCCESSFUL OUTCOMES WHATSOEVER. PICKS ARE PROVIDED TO GUIDE YOUR STRATEGY TO PLAYING THE RACES. MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE IN NO WAY INTENDED TO ENCOURAGE GAMBLING. WHERE LEGAL, ALL WAGERS SHOULD BE MADE RESPONSIBLY AND ARE DONE SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.

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