Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Tuesday, December 6, 2016
On this Tuesday at Danonymous Racing, we’ve got FREE picks & analysis from Turf Paradise from Rob MacLennan (@RobMacASD)!
Rob served as the track handicapper at Assiniboia Downs, near Winnipeg, over the summer, and we’re happy to have him as part of the Danonymous Racing crew. He’ll be providing analysis of the racing at Turf Paradise all winter long.
Take it away, Rob!
Race 1: Selection: #8 Real Nice (3/1 ML). This filly makes her second start off a layoff after a closing effort on the dirt. Now she stretches out to two turns on the grass, she has two good works in the interim and has taken support in both lifetime starts for the leading jockey and trainer at Turf Paradise. She lost most of her chance at the start last time and now she should move forward off that race.
Race 2: Selection: #5 One for My Baby (5/2 ML). Drops in class off the wide third place finish last time making his first start since July. He chased the pace and tired down the lane after being five wide around the turn. Now I expect him to be forwardly placed and to move forward off that race. The outside horse in the field could be an easy winner but he has some scary signs as well, no work since his last race, dropping to the bottom after one try off a two year layoff, he might win but I’ll take a shot against.
Race 3: Selection: #3 Lazy Daisy May (6/1 ML). This five furlong mare dash is filled with speed and lots of them who tend to backup. I’ll take a shot that Lazy Daisy May gets a really good trip in behind coming out of a race where she was very wide and off a long layoff. She should move forward and the price is right for a flyer.
Race 4: Selection: #2 Beeline Express (12/1 ML). A live longshot to consider. A number of fillies should show speed in here and Beeline Express drops in class, gets a positive rider change, makes her second start off the freshening and has run numbers in the past that are competitive in this race. The barn has won with horses making this move in the past and she is worth a chance in a wide open race.
Race 5: Selection: #9 Profound Victory (2/1 ML). Here’s a horse that I end up picking because I think he is the most likely winner, but if you could figure out who might beat him there’s certainly reasons not to like him. The reasons I do kind of like him though are the fact he has a bullet work coming in, he gets a cut back in distance, and the fact that Robertino owns him himself. I always think Diodoro is looking for the win on the drop and if he loses him it’s not the end of the world. This horse will not be 2/1 either, trying less than even money.
Race 6: Selection: #9 Esmeralda Belle (6/5 ML). Tough to get excited about this race, but off her troubled second last time she looks like the class of the race. I would expect her to take care of business.
Race 7: Selection: #5 Ahasuerus (7/2 ML). This NW1Y race on the grass is competitive but the drop in class for this guy should find him in the most favorable company he has seen in a long time. I know it’s been a long time since he has found the winner’s circle but he certainly fits in here and his ML price would be generous.
Race 8: Selection: #10 Red N Black Attack (3/1 ML). I flip flopped between him and the #8 Vsaidno as the closer of the race. Lots of speed signed on and Red N Black Attack can sit off and rally as seen at Canterbury. He caught a much tougher bunch last time with Redneck Attack coming back to win. Now he drops to the bottom and should be the horse to beat.
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