Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Monday, December 12, 2016
On Monday, we’re going out to Phoenix, Arizona, where we’ve got FREE Turf Paradise picks & analysis from Rob MacLennan (@RobMacASD)!
Rob served as the track handicapper at Assiniboia Downs, near Winnipeg, over the summer, and we’re happy to have him as part of the Danonymous Racing crew. He’ll be providing analysis of the racing at Turf Paradise all winter long.
Take it away, Rob!
Race 1: Selection: #2 Most Determined (8/1 ML). Second time starter for a barn that is 17% with a good ROI with this move. Made the debut in a fast sprint on the dirt, now stretches out, adds blinkers and is bred to enjoy a route of ground. The horse off that race and came back and worked in 100 1/5 on Dec 7th. A move forward off the race could make for an interesting longshot contender.
Race 2: Selection: #4 Puzzling Rule (5/2 ML). Second time starter comes off a race where I would assume he bled. Showed a whole bunch of early speed before fading quickly and being vanned off. He comes back with a work and adds Lasix. The talent is obviously present, and if he can put it together he has a big chance.
Race 3: Selection: #7 Watch it Buster (7/2 ML). Claimed last time for $10,000 by a sharp owner-trainer. Should get a good stalking trip on the outside. Holds a victory over Mysterious Storm who might be pace compromised in here. This barn wouldn’t have been scared to run this horse for half the claiming price if they really didn’t like him, so the placement makes me intrigued as well.
Race 4: Selection: #3 Piper’s Purse (5/1 ML). Second start off the layoff, now on the stretch-out in distance which is definitely a better one for him. He should be forwardly placed in a race without pace. The barn is now 3 for 5 with the second start off the 180 day plus layoff. Worth a shot for me on the front end.
Race 5: Selection: #10 Tough Runner (10/1 ML). Longshot closer in a race with lots of speed. Drops out of a spot that was way too tough, before that she tried a stake, but the race in April was a good second. If she gets a good pace and if Natasha can save a little ground she could get up late.
Race 6: Selection: #6 Graymarksthespot (3/1 ML). Hastings horses always are tough and this horse was claimed by a high percentage barn. Now he adds Lasix for the first time and I think he can sit close in the first start at Turf Paradise.
Race 7: Selection: #8 Shred the Rules (2/1 ML). An open lengths winner last time in a NW3L allowance, now the 3-year-old takes a step up in class. However he is bred to go long on the grass, being out of an In Excess mare. His one career route race was against Danzing Candy, kind of hard to compete with. Scott Stevens stays aboard and he could be a very talented individual.
Race 8: Selection: #7 Tailgator (4/1 ML). Claimed last time for $3,000, this now 7-year-old should move up in the second start off the layoff. He could be one of the horses that could get a good run behind the speed in the race. The barn does well off the claim and Tailgator is certainly a contender in the field.
DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE. PICKS & ANALYSIS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE MERELY OPINIONS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. PICKS DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY SUCCESSFUL OUTCOMES WHATSOEVER. PICKS ARE PROVIDED TO GUIDE YOUR STRATEGY TO PLAYING THE RACES. MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE IN NO WAY INTENDED TO ENCOURAGE GAMBLING. WHERE LEGAL, ALL WAGERS SHOULD BE MADE RESPONSIBLY AND ARE DONE SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.