Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, December 17, 2016
Tampa Bay Downs
It’s a great day of racing at Tampa Bay Downs, and we’ve got Elaine Daniels (@edan1962) providing free picks & analysis for today’s ten-race program.
We encourage you to give Elaine a follow on twitter; she’ll be providing analysis of the great racing at Tampa Bay all meet long. She had another great Saturday last week, and will hope to continue the good momentum today.
Take it away, Elaine!
RACE 1 – Maiden $8,000, 3yo & up, 6 ½ Furlongs
8 – Mo Town Kat (9-5) – In a field in which most of the entrants seem averse to finishing in the money this GP shipper has finished 3rd in 4 of 6 career races. Highest last out Beyer.
3 – J’s Love Key (12-1) – This former Gerald Bennett trained horse was entered at the $25,000 level her last race at Tampa. Stretches out and Ronnie Allen, Jr. has the call.
2 – Bronze Venus (4-1) – Takes a drop and is second off a layoff. Should be fitter this time around and goes from 6 to 6 and 1/2 furlongs.
RACE 2 – Claiming $25,000, Fillies 2yo, 6 Furlongs
2 – Kowboy’s Deelite (7-2) – Was in over her head earlier this month in the Sandpiper Stakes. This filly was working well over the Tampa main track before that race. There should be enough pace for her to make her closing move.
5 – Wild Cheers (5-2) – Another filly who ran in the Sandpiper Stakes. Jockey Uske will have her forwardly placed. Her Beyer three races back at this distance tops the field.
1 – Mighty Mini (9-2) – Gerald Bennett trained filly moves up and goes for her second win of the meet. Retains Jimenez.
6 – What about Tonight (3-1) – Trainer Anthony Pecoraro winning at 21% with 2 year olds. This filly takes a class drop.
RACE 3 – Claiming $16,000(N2L), F & M 3yo & up, 1 Mile TURF
6 – Be Sure Lisa (3-1) – Gulfstream Park shipper tries the Tampa turf for the first time. Cuts back to one mile. Competitive speed figures.
7 – American Merlot (4-1) – Daniel Centeno had the mount on this filly on December 7th and stays aboard. Finished 3 lengths off the winner and ran a career high turf Beyer in that race.
9 – She’smineiloveher (9-2) – Trainer Leonard puts blinkers on this Purim filly who is making her second appearance of the meet. Bocachica stays.
3 – Napa Valley Rose (7-2) – Quite likely the fastest filly in the race has finished 3rd four times in a row. Moves from sprint to route. Dirt to turf.
RACE 4 – Claiming $5,000(N1Y), 3yo & up, 7 Furlongs
11 – Moonlit Meteor (4-1) – Trainer Anthony Rini claimed this Malibu Moon son from its race at Tampa at same level on November 30th. Went off the favorite that day
10 – Pacific Image (7-2) – 4 of 7 in the money on the Tampa main track. Takes a bit of a class drop.
4 – Bluegrass Demon (6-1) – 2nd off a layoff. Moving from $5,000(N2Y) to $5,000(N1Y). Made a nice closing move last race at current distance.
8 – Dickens (20-1) – Underneath price play. Had a respectable showing last winter and spring at Tampa at higher levels. Had has time to rest. Put in a 5 furlong bullet on December 10th.
RACE 5 – Maiden Claiming $16,000, 2yo, 5 and ½ Furlongs
12 – My Bro Paul (10-1) – Highest Tomlinson for the distance in the field. Throw out last race. Ward and Uske have won two races this meet so far.
3 – Moonshinegin (8-1) – 1st time Lasix. Gerald Bennett off to a great start at meet winning at 48%.
11 – Bitomagic (6-1) – Kathleen O’Connell and Goncalves team up with this second off a layoff class dropper.
RACE 6 –Claiming $8,000(N2L), 3uo & up, 6 Furlongs
2 – Lino Rose (7-2) – Pomeroy colt was an early scratch off last Saturday’s card. Finished 5th at the $16,000(N2L) level last out on December 2d. First with trainer Palacios who has a first with trainer ROI of $4.68.
5 – Makes Good Sense (5-1) – Finger Lakes shipper by Street Sense. $80,000 Keeneland purchase in 2014. Two works over the Tampa main track.
11 – Running On Guinnes (8-1) – Wildcat Heir offspring do well at Tampa. This colt cuts back, moves from turf to dirt, and takes a drop.
RACE 7 – Claiming $6,250, 3 & up, 7 Furlongs
10 – Tale Stone (10-1) – Gelding by Birdstone stretches out. Had trouble on November 26th. A return to his GPW form two races ago would make him competitive
3 – Money Tree (5-1) – Jamie Ness put in a 5 furlong bullet work following its November 26th debut at the meet. Was wide last race and had nothing in the stretch. Expect better.
1 – W W Concerto (5-2) – Hawthorne invader picks up Ronnie Allen, Jr. Cuts back.
7 – Hoosier Bay (10-1) – Joan Scott horse takes a class drop and picks up Jimenez. Will try to wire the field.
RACE 8 – Lightning City Stakes $100,000, F&M 3 & up, 5 Furlongs TURF
12- Firsthand Report (8-1) – Blame filly trained by Todd Pletcher. Eddie Castro in town to take the mount.
5 – Everything Lovely (3-1) – Nice 4 length win over the turf course on opening day. Trainer DeMasi has 4 wins in 8 races so far.
1 – Triple Chelsea (8-1) – The most likely beneficiary if the pace collapses. Bullet workout at Tampa on December 10th.
11- Richies Sweetheart (6-1) – Last year’s winner. Put in a nice 4 furlong workout on December 11th. Trainer Rivelli winning at 23% in stakes races this year.
RACE 9 – Allowance Optional Claiming $16,000(N1X), 3 & up, 7 Furlong
1 – Ditka (3-1) – Godolphin Racing’s $500,000 Distorted Humor colt drops in class. He should be very fit having had five 5 furlong or more workouts over the main track.
3 – Taipan’s Advantage (8-1) – Gerald Bennett and Ronnie Allen, Jr. had two wins of 6 or more length with this gelding last spring at Tampa. Returns to dirt.
4 – Peteizum (7-2) – Jamie Ness using the services of Albin Jimenez. Last out Beyer of 83 tops the field.
RACE 10 – Claiming $16,000(N3L), F&M 3 & up, 1 Mile TURF
9 – Just My Game (3-1) – Kathleen O’Connell trainee 1 for 1 at a turf mile. Ships in from Belmont and takes a class drop.
10 – Zouzou (9-2) – Leading turf jockey takes the mount on the other Kathleen O’Connell entry.
1 – Eye of Ra (4-1) – Filly by Leroidesanimaux is cutting back after winning on turf at this level on December 7th.
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