Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Sunday, December 27, 2015
On Sunday, we’re headed back out to Santa Anita, where we’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS from our friend and returning guest handicapper Brett Strong (@Storiesdub).
We thank Brett for his thorough writeup today. He has become a regular on DanonymousRacing.com and his California-based racing selections (and other interspersed sports selections) are now featured here every Sunday. Good luck to everyone playing along today!
Take it away, Brett…
Back at it, out West, after a short layoff. Had a brief freshening yesterday watching opening day and hopefully can fire some winners to finish off opening weekend. Maybe I can ride the winner wave created by the University of Kentucky Wildcats from yesterday’s win over Ricky P and the Cardinals. Fun day of racing ahead and enjoy your Sunday! Don’t be shocked if Atlanta keeps it close at home against Carolina today. Line is Atlanta +7.
Pick 5 Play:
Begins in Race 1
1,3,6 / 1,3,7 / 3,5,7 / 2 / 2,4,9,12,13 = $67.50
Pick 4 Play:
Begins in Race 6
1,2,7 / 1,4,7,8 / 2,6,7,9,12 / 1,5 = $60
Race 1: 6-3-1
Santiago Gonzalez got off to a great start yesterday and I look for him to start this card off in similar fashion. Competitive figures at this level and a steady worktab look good against this group. Martin Pedroza gets back on Prince Valiant and has beaten and finished behind Inexcess Time over the last fewer. Fits at this level and Pedroza can get this one home. Play The Custodian underneath. Lifetime record says to put ITM but not a huge chance to win at a lower tier price.
Race 2: 1-3-7
The top three stand out here. The wild card here is Flavien Prat on Belvoir Bay. Second start in the states and gets Lasix for the first time. If Prat can get this one settled, should be in the mix. DVD likes the grass and Family Meeting deserves the nod on top. Proctor and DVD have had solid success together recently and they have a solid shot. Not a huge fan of the post draw but has the chance to overcome that. Mirage gets another shot at Family Meeting and gets Rosario on board. Rider change could help but I feel like Mirage would need to prove me wrong before I would bet to win. I do like the post draw of Mirage so I’m including in multi race wagers.
Race 3: 3-7-5
Heed to Speed ran a blazing first half going a mile last out and gets the cutback here. Miller does well going route to sprint with runners and Talamo stays on. Has to get out quickly down inside. Once again, Gonzalez lands a live mount and has a very good shot at getting the job done. Will be a short price but deservedly so in this group. First time starter for Abrams draws some intrigue as he has positive results debuting in the claiming ranks. Dam has had 2 winners in 3 starters. Will be a big price and will be added to Pick 5 ticket.
Race 4: 2-6-7
Hoffenheim will get one more shot from me before he becomes a play against. Espinoza stays on and has still been throwing darts in the mornings. We’ll see if the added distance helps as Baffert does well on the first time route. French Getaway has made up ground late in both career starts so I’m looking for the added distance to help here as well. Desormeaux and Hess are always a solid combo out west. Interesting to see Bejarano on essentially the “third” Baffert here. I’m intrigued and has some solid works coming in.
Race 5: 13-9-12
If you don’t love the downhill races at Santa Anita, we can’t be friends. Zuri Chop had a solid showing down the hill last out in its first attempt at the course, finishing 3rd by 3/4 of a length.s Add in it was versus tougher company and gets a rider upgrade to Joel Rosario, I look to see this one coming late. City Of Vengeance just like the top choice gets the course for the second time. This one barely missed, getting caught late at 27-1. Drops in company and keeps Espinoza on board. Incline Village threw in a clunker last out but all three of its wins have come on this course. Sometimes runners just like the hill, this one seems to be one of them with a record of 9–3-2-1. Also has a solid worktab since its last race which is good to see.
Race 6: 7-2-1
Ferocious is an interesting play here. Drops to the lowest company its faced, first time gelding and not too long ago was a graded stakes placed runner. If Baze can recapture some of the previous dirt form, this one is a contender. Interesting to see that Gonzalez chooses to ride Northern Iowa instead of Eagle Rock (whom he won on last out). Gets the cut back and Cerin goes route to sprint at a 22% clip. Market Notes is a consistent runner but looks to be more of an underneath use instead of on top. 2 wins in 20+ tries but has run ITM in half its starts and yet has never won at Santa Anita.
Race 7: 1-4-8
Wolf Man Rocket has been off a long time but has been a consistent worker and gets the patented Baffert Route-Sprint move first off the layoff. Spotted well in the return to racing and should be tough. Another one getting the Baffert cutback angle is Dream Team. Draws BB’s go to rider and threw in a bullet work in preparation for this. Speed figures are also in line to be highly competitive in this spot. Wild card in this one is Roy H. Tries dirt for the first time and if takes to the surface, should be in the mix at this level. Gonzalez picks up the mount and we know how capable he is out here.
Race 8: 2-7-6
Three Hearts has a few things in its favor today. Running style bodes well at this distance, Talamo gets back on already having a win on this one and draws well in post position. Gets familiar company and could see this one stealing this race on the front end. Stormy Liberal and Desormeaux will have a say in this one as well. Could very well be the one who catches Three Hearts late. Drops in company from last race and stretches out. Peace and War is an interesting runner for Motion. Sends this one out on the grass for the first time since being over in the US. Maybe that will wake this one up. Draws the services of Rosario who is a solid turf rider and has ridden this one a couple times before and should be familiar.
Race 9: 5-1-10
A lot of unknowns in the finale. I like Lost Dutchman to fire first out for O’Neill and Gonzalez. Threw in a bullet work in prep for this and isn’t in too tough if company. Etailer had a solid showing first out at Del Mar and gets Mario Gutierrez back on board. Should be competitive in this group but the worktab doesn’t really scream “ready to fire”. Demonslayer gets the services of Bejarano again and finished just behind Etailer out at Del Mar in its debut. Baltas takes the blinkers off, which is a positive move for him. I wouldn’t leave this one off my Pick 4.
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