Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, December 30, 2016
Santa Anita Park
It’s a Friday afternoon of racing at Santa Anita Park, and we’ve got Sebastian Piscuskas (@SeaBass912) providing FREE picks & analysis!
Sebastian has been one of our featured West Coast handicappers for some time now. You can find his picks for Southern California racing every Friday on Danonymous Racing. We thank Sebastian for sharing his thoughts today. We encourage you to give him a follow on Twitter when you get a chance. Take it away, Sebastian…
Race 1: #2 Frandontjudge is in the best form of the current field and exits a heartbreaking loss at Los Alamitos where she fell victim to the long stretch. She moves up in class for her first start off the claim for Periban. The Benchmark mare has solid tactical speed and the last time we saw her over this oval she cruised by nearly five lengths. Ten-pound apprentice Velasco takes the call.
Race 2: #5 Ravissante was solid on debut at Keeneland on the turf and then ventured to Del Mar where she was terrible. She goes from turf to dirt in career start number three and gets Lasix for the first time. Out of an A.P. Indy mare Modesty Blaise, who was a half to Aldebaran and Good Journey, two turns on dirt is arguably what she wants to do. #1 Mopotism ran well above expectations when running third in the Grade I Starlet almost three weeks ago. She returns to maiden ranks and cuts back a half furlong to a mile. The deserved favorite will take beating.
Race 3: #5 Nazareth made a belated rally in the stretch in her last start when running first off the claim for Sherlock. Sherlock is 0 for his last 17 with his runners first off the claim and has worked Nazareth three times in the past month for this. The daughter of Bluegrass Cat is certainly fitter for this race and will be rolling in the stretch. #4 Angel Lane returns to the main circuit after a powerful front end effort at 870 yards at night at Los Al. She’s winless in the afternoon since being claimed off of Puype but could be back on track with the confidence building win. #7 Kristie’s Heart grinded along in the stretch in her last start to break though the N2L condition. She’ll need to move forward to compete today but is drawn well and catches a field she can handle on her best day.
Race 4: #10 Little Bit Lovely has been beaten by a few of these in her last few starts and has been unseen since. While not ideal, the Carava trainee was tremendous visually in her last work where she cruised around the main track making a couple of high priced Baffert two year olds seem average. Drawn widest of all Little Bit Lovely should sit a comfortable trip and keep the closers at bay in the lane. #6 Pearl De Vere is a course specialist and tumbles down the class ladder in her return to So Cal. She was sharp before her brief layoff and has fired in the past when fresh. #2 Newcomb was not disgraced in her two tries over this going before returning back East where she was only moderately successful breaking her maiden for 40k at Saratoga. Baltas moves his first time runners forward leaps and bounds and gives hungry Woodbine invader Luis Contreras the leg up. A runner with upside at 12-1.
Race 5: The ending leg of the Pick 5 and the start of the Late Pick 4, the Kalookan Queen Stakes goes through #8 Fantastic Style. Unseen since a third place finish at Pimlico in May at 20 cents on the dollar, the Baffert filly has been working steadily for her return to the races. Drawn the far outside, the Harlan’s Holiday filly should sit a clean trip and run away from her overmatched foes. #7 Bad Ju Ju is the best chance of the rest of the field to beat the heavy favorite. Two-for-two since being claimed by Miller, the Desert Code filly has climbed right up the class ladder and enters this race as sharp as can be. Back in July Bad Ju Ju went 6f in 1:08.3 and will need to repeat that effort to contend with the filly drawn to her immediate outside.
Race 6: #9 Student Body Left was unable to get on track over the Del Mar turf course and returns to dirt at Santa Anita. The Tizway colt was not disgraced in his last start routing on the dirt when he was surely dead short against a couple Baffert runners. Van Dyke climbs back aboard. Positive works in the holster. #10 Trojan Nation makes his first start on dirt against non-graded company for the first time since March. The Gallagher trainee has done his best work on dirt and is at a level where he can surely compete. #5 Tribal Jewel is the imposing front end presence in this event. He loves Santa Anita and is a fighter on the pace. The other speed in here should be compromised with this guy in the race.
Race 7: #2 Soglio stormed home while breaking his maiden in career start number four. The Motion trainee broke got the job done despite breaking from post 12 and adds Lasix for his stakes debut. Van Dyke/Motion have been a stellar combo in graded stakes on this coast. The horse to beat.
Race 8: #10 Avaudrey has been unseen since two decent efforts a year ago at the age of 2. The Leroidesanimaux filly showed some ability and tactical speed. Despite being off for so long we know what we’re getting against many of these who will be 5yo maidens in two days. Go Kayla! #6 Aloha Spirit debuted against a buzzsaw and immediately drops for twenty. She surely must have her issues but with Miller he’s out to win and he drops her to do just that. #8 Soleil Couchant debuts with a moderate worktab. The McCarthy trainee was an inexpensive purchase as a yearling so the debut for 20k makes sense.
Pick 5: 2/1,5/ALL/2,6,10/8 = $21
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