FREE Laurel Park Picks & Analysis
Saturday, February 28, 2015
After a brief break from the action, we’re back at our old stomping grounds on Saturday with FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS at Laurel Park!
No one is ever perfect when it comes to handicapping but historically we have done pretty well at Laurel. Saturday’s card is full of opportunities to cash and there are three separate Pick-4 pools to jump in on, beginning in race 2. Good luck if you’re playing along!
Race 4: #1 High Wire Act (9-2 ML)
Race 5: #1 Julia Domna (10-1 ML)
INDIVIDUAL RACE SELECTIONS
Race 1: 6-5-3
#6 Cover Price had excuses last out when finishing way out of it. Tossing that one and leaning on the race two-back when he beat similar. Jockey Victor Carrasco was up then and remounts here after being away for the last. Needs a touch of pace to run into and #3 Don’s Honour figures to dictate from the break. That one goes back out trying to make it two in a row for super steady local trainer Kieron Magee. #5 Peppermint Prince overcome a little trouble last out and seems to be in good form. Horse needs to bring his best.
Race 2: 1-8-7
#1 Tripmeister takes another drop off of an even effort against $25K claimers last out. Consider it a good sign that leading meet jock Jevian Toledo sticks for Phil Schoenthal (18%). Horse won at 5 1/2 furlongs three races ago at Laurel and cuts back to that exact distance here. Going to try to nab a price in the exotics with #8 Running On Wishes (15-1 ML). Horse is 0 for 2 at Laurel against tougher and the allowance race last out at Charles Town is a complete throw out. Trainer has placed with 3 of 4 starters at the stand. #7 Cloudy River is a must use on the transfer from Puype at Santa Anita to Scott Lake. Expecting him to be in the mix but will play against at a short price.
Race 3: 4-1-5-6
We will settle for the short price in this race, as #4 Joey Whispers drops back in for the $7K tag after trying tougher last out. This 7-year-old war horse won five times over this course last year, and then again in January. #1 Maybrys Challenge deserve a long look on account of his speed and him drawing the rail. Inside has not been the place to be, of late, but we’ll see how it plays on Saturday. If the bug can adjust accordingly, this horse could make some noise at 15-1 on the morning line. #5 Eternal Flight (10-1 ML) is another interesting one at a price. Cuts back and has shown some early speed in the past. He’s also at a level at which he’s shown plenty of consistency.
Race 4: 1-4-2-8
#1 High Wire Act threatens to be the lone speed off a nice freshening for Ferris Allen. The only concern is that the trainer shows a goose egg on the layoff stat line. Still think this mare is talented enough and the pace scenario will suit. Attracts Toledo, as well. #4 Fifth Amendment ran a bang up race last out for Claudio Gonzalez, who has steadily sent out live horses throughout the meet. Jockey Julian Pimentel is 3 for 5 when up for Gonzalez at Laurel dating back to last year.
Race 5: 1-9-4-5
#1 Julia Domna is a mare who will probably get overlooked at 10-1. But she draws the rail, adds blinkers and gets the services of an experienced jockey in Xavier Perez who knows how to win these bottom level sprints. In fact, Perez guided her to a runner-up finish at odds of 46-1 over the course last year. This horse has also had some excuses in her flops, so going to give her a shot with the knowledge that she can easily factor if things slightly break her way. #9 Mimipaoponchis is one of those impossible to read Florida shippers. Keep an eye on the board and expect that she will take some action. Just because there isn’t much to like in here, have to give her a shot. #4 Best From Here didn’t break alertly last out and never really factored. Was her first race after a long break and trainer scores at a healthy 29% clip second off the layoff. Going very deep in this final leg of the early Pick-4.
Race 6: 2-10-9-3
#2 Herman’s Wildcat is the speed of the speed. Filly boasts a wire to wire win here two races back and, after not riding her last out, jockey from that race returns here. Trainer is rock solid and the projected pace seems favorable. #10 Hereshecomesagain drops in for less than half the tag she ran for last out. She didn’t show much in that race but deserves another look, in what will only be her second start against winners. Carrasco could’ve opted for #9 Pony Romo but landed on Hereshecomesagain instead. As for Pony Romo, she’s another one who broke her maiden two back and didn’t fare too well in her first try against winners. That said, she also encountered significant trip trouble. Looking for her to improve here with a cleaner voyage.
Race 7: 5-3-4-13-8
#2 Far Out West was initially the top pick but scratched. #5 Rock Me Gently will be a huge price but isn’t without a chance. Horse makes a less alarming drop down to this $25K level from $35K. Prior to that he ran for $16K and clearly impressed his connections enough to earn the bump up. Feel like this might be the right spot for a horse who could be improving. #3 Tricky Lion has shown some speed and really didn’t run too poorly in MSW company. Softer company could be the answer.
Race 8: 4-8-5-1
Taking a stand against #1 Lost in Success (2-1 ML) who ships in for Rudy with Carrasco up. Though this tandem has had a fair amount of success at the stand, you’ve got to be concerned with a horse who has been blown out in consecutive $62K o/c races in New York (seven months apart) and now shows up in Maryland with a $25K tag. Not touching. #4 Holly’s Image moves up a condition after beating N2L’s last out. She seemed a tad out of her range in allowance company but did it with ease last out. She’s won twice and placed once in five starts at Laurel and also has the tactical speed to go early if she needs to or to sit off if necessary.
Race 9: 5-4-2-3
#5 Irsaal will be a short price but figures to be tough shipping in off of a third place finish in a $100K stakes race at Aqueduct for Kiaran McLaughlin. Trainer scores at a nice 28% clip on the cutback. Horse may have to avoid dropping too far out of it. #6 DC Dancer was second choice but scratched. #4 Extrasexyhippzster made some noise last year on the Triple Crown trail but fell off the radar last May. He came back with a really nice effort off the layoff, beaten only by Cutty Shark who returned to just miss in the General George Handicap.
Race 10: 10-4-11-6-1
We close out the card with a bunch of horses who haven’t had their photos taken yet, despite many opportunities. A few of these have shown marked improvement of late, especially #10 Saint or Sinner. Gelding appeared to take a major step forward second off the layoff last out. Jockey Taylor Hole, who’s winning at a surprisingly good 21% stays up after getting the most out of this one in the last. #4 Nate’s Dynamite has already had 10 chances to break through but this is clearly his best opportunity, dropping down to his lowest level to date. Trainer Mark Shuman is 4 for 10 at the stand and gets the meet’s top jock to pilot. #11 ZZ Thunder is a pace factor and could step up for Magee on the slight cutback (28%).
DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE.
PICKS & ANALYSIS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE MERELY OPINIONS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. PICKS DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY SUCCESSFUL OUTCOMES WHATSOEVER. PICKS ARE PROVIDED TO GUIDE YOUR STRATEGY TO PLAYING THE RACES. MATERIALS FOUND ON THIS SITE ARE IN NO WAY INTENDED TO ENCOURAGE GAMBLING. WHERE LEGAL, ALL WAGERS SHOULD BE MADE RESPONSIBLY AND ARE DONE SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.