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Picks of the Day Submitted by You!
Saturday, February 28, 2015
On Saturday, we’re back at Gulfstream Park with FREE PICKS and ANALYSIS from our friend and returning guest handicapper, Mackenzie Kirker-Head (@mackenziejanek).
We thank Mackenzie for putting a lot of time and effort into the card and wish you good luck if you’re playing along!
R1: 1 – 7 – 9
#1 Shining Powers is the deserving favorite of the opener. He has strung together a series of decent efforts and enters off of a win. He has shown an affinity to the Gulfstream surface and should prevail today.
R2: 5 – 4 – 7
#5 Winstanley (IRE) enters off of a decent effort in his second start in the United States. He gets the added benefit of Lasix this time and his last start showed that he may like the distance. Silver Lucky Q, the 4, returns from a decent effort that should allow him room for improvement. This is his first start for his new barn, and the trainer is batting at 33% wins with new starters according to DRF Formulator.
R3: 2 – 4 – 6
#6 Pretty Girl Anna comes back from a decent win in her last start, and carrying only 113 lbs with an apprentice jockey on board won’t harm her chances. #4 So It’s True suffered a wide trip last out, covering 28 feet (about 3 ¼ lengths) more than the winner. With a better trip she could find herself hitting the board.
R4: 9 – 2 – 1
In this well-bred maiden race, #9 Icefield enters for Kiaran McLaughlin. His dam is a half to Bernardini. The Street Cry sire suggests that he may want more distance, but the class and the connections are hard to overlook. #2 Scorch enters off a bullet workout to make his first start. He gets the mount of Rajiv Maragh, and his dam was a graded stakes winning sprinter. #1 Sustainability’s dam is a half to Canada’s champion two year old filly Tu Endie Wei and to Canadian Horse of the Year Biofuel. Trainer Delgado Gustavo is 20% with first time starters, and like Scorch, Sustainability receives Lasix for the first time. Gustavo and Edgard Zayas together are a great time, winning at 30%.
R5: 8 – 5 – 1 – 6
#8 Consumer Credit’s turn of foot in the Sweetest Chant was very impressive and forces me to place the filly, who enters off a three race win-streak, on top. #5 Quality Rocks was second in that race after a wide trip that left her covering 22 feet (2 ½ lengths) more than the winner according to Trakus. She is clearly talented and should hit the board. #1 Devine Aida also had an interesting trip last out while taking the Ginger Brew, covering 31 feet ( 3 ¾ L) more than the second-placed horse, and 34 feet (4 L) more than third.
R6: 11 – 1 – 8
#11 Sycamore Lane returns from a strong effort back in January where he defeated fellow competitor, the #1 Inchcape. Inchcape vied for the lead throughout but it took a toll on him as he was not able to get the victory. He was wide for a large part of the race and today he receives the rail position which will allow him to send for the lead and get an inside trip. There is not much speed in the race which improves his chances. Inchcape also gets the mount of top jockey Javier Castellano. #6 Taghleeb has won and placed here from two starts, and last out he won, covering more ground than the first seven finishers behind him.
R7: 10 – 5 – 7
#10 Wisecracker enters off a runner-up to Khozan who has since gone on to easily win an allowance. Wisecracker is one of three who has previous experience in this field of maidens, and he has quite the connections. #5 Seeking Alpha is a first time starter for Chad Brown. A $385,000 Keeneland September purchase, the three year old has been working nicely and Chad does very well with first time starters, and is 28% in maiden special weights. #7 Unbridled Juan put in a solid effort last out and ran on willingly. He should benefit from the added distance.
R8: 4 – 11 – 6 – 7
#4 Feathered returns after a very good two-year-old season for top trainer at the meet, Todd Pletcher. She enters the race a deserving favorite. #11 Spark was impressive in her debut for Jimmy Jerkens, putting in the fastest final fraction and covering more ground than her opponents in her debut. Jerkens is 32% with horses that won their last start. #6 Skywarn has run well in both of her efforts for Bill Mott, though the long break may be a bit to overcome. She also receives Lasix for the first time.
R9: 3 – 8 – 11
#3 Dad’z Laugh has won his past two starts since discovering he likes to run on the lead and has three wins and three seconds from eight tries at Gulfstream. He may be able to wire the field. #8 Strike Bold enters off a maiden special weight victory and a huge layoff. With the apprentice jockey he gets in carrying a light weight which will be beneficial. #11 Best Man has not done much recently but has two wins from three starts at Gulfstream and drops down in class here while also cutting back a bit in distance.
R10: 1 – 2 – 5 – 7
It’s hard to pick against Todd Pletcher’s Daredevil (#1), who breaks from the rail here and should go straight to the lead. The horse was a very good winner of the Champagne last year before a troubled start in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. His main competition will come in the form of the other speedster Souper Colossal, who won the Texas Glitter here over the turf in his last start. While the turf may be his preferred surface, he has proven he can win on both. #2 Senor Grits is an interesting choice as a closer considering the speed that enters this race. #7 X Y Jet is yet another speed horse who ran well in the Hutcheson in his last start to secure second to Barbados. He has four seconds and a third from five starts at Gulfstream.
R11: 6 – 10 – 5 – 2
#6 Night Prowler retains the mount of Javier Castellano after his win in the Dania Beach despite Castellano riding the 10, Croninthebarbarian, to a third in the Kittens Joy most recently. Croninthebarbarian suffered a wide trip last out in the Kitten’s Joy, covering 35 feet (about 4 lengths) more than Dubai Sky. He draws wide today but will hopefully have#5 Dubai Sky has been steadily improving since breaking his maiden back in September. Last out he won the Kittens Joy, and now holds two wins from two starts on the Gulfstream turf. #2 Eh Cumpari experienced a difficult trip last out, travelling 45 feet (5 ¼ L) more than the winner, losing only by 1 ½ lengths.
R12: 2 – 5 – 12
#2 Generous Kitten is an obvious choice for Michael Maker, who wins with about 24% of his first time starters. Kitten’s Joy is 17% winners from first time starters as well, and the Kittens love Gulfstream. #5 Fair Prospect put in a nice effort last out to get second. #12 Juba should win if this race is off the turf.
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