Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, November 14, 2015
On Saturday, we’re headed back out to Del Mar, where we’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS from our friend and returning guest handicapper Billy Blake (@BillyBlake26).
Billy is an NHC qualifier and is currently a producer with XBTV, based at Santa Anita. Starting in November, he’ll be providing picks from California every Saturday. Be sure to give him a follow on Twitter when you get a chance. Take it away, Billy…
Race 1: 3-8-5
#3 Unusual Taste reunites with Santiago Gonzalez after running in Northern California last month. Pace is just to his outside in Downtown C.T. and it’s worth noting he is only horse in the field that is a two-time winner on the Del Mar turf. #8 Mal Verde off the claim for Blaine Wright. This gelding should sit midpack from the outside post, but Baze won’t have luxury of saving ground. #5 Royal Banker comes into this off winning a $25,000 claimer. Perfect trip at Santa Anita and just prevailed. Minor reward is the limit.
Race 2: 6-4-3
#6 Rockin Dorita the pick in this small but evenly matched field. Put in a solid effort last month off the layoff and now she is back at the track where she broke her maiden. Well posted with the veteran Nakatani getting a leg up again. #4 Q’Viva has just missed last two times in this condition, the bug rider Lopez gets the call and she will offer some value with limited options to choose from. #3 Big Move working too well in the mornings to leave off the ticket this afternoon.
Race 3: 9-4-5
#9 Dancer’s Kiss turns back to sprinting after a rough trip two turns at Santa Anita. This filly has gate issues, but willing to give her a shot to rebound- especially if she stays in the neighborhood of 10-1 morning line. #4 Kiss My Face has speed and she may very well throw down the gauntlet and lead every step of the way. This miss due to win and is a logical contender. #5 Take It Easyplease is the one coming from off the pace I prefer. She’s collected some checks for minor shares before and don’t see why she can’t do it again today.
Race 4: 7-8-5
Perhaps #7 Codacious didn’t like going down the hill last out, but she also ran into a very nice turf horse in Glory, who came back to win wire-to-wire at Del Mar last week. She will need the pace to develop in front of her down the backstretch but there’s enough speed on paper to set up for her closing kick. #8 Lily Pod faces winners for the first time and switches dirt to turf, Bejarano must think enough of her to jump off Codacious and take the mount. Killer Bs look to strike again. #5 Miss Gifted freshened up for this and turns back. Perhaps Sadler is giving her a race but can certainly run them all down late.
Race 5: 4-8-3
#4 Gold Chaser second off the layoff, back-to-back respectable efforts with the seven pound bug in the saddle. Wide trip two back then couldn’t hang on to the lead last month. Leaning on this one in the wide open claimer. #8 Swiss Cheese sliced through the rail in what was a nice ride by the journeyman Graham. The non effort in September appears to be exception rather than the rule. #3 Devil Rising got caught up bobbing heads and eventually ran out of gas turning for home. Lack of speed means he could be hanging around this time.
Race 6: 2-4-9
#2 Ya Ya Girl long overdue for win honors. Unsure of others who will pressure her early and she can get into her rhythm on the front end. #4 Arewehavingfunyet finished behind Ya Ya Girl twice before, but the distance doesn’t seem much of a concern for her as it does for many others signed on. #9 Twosome in the mix based on the drop down and throws the blinkers on. Debut wasn’t anything special. However, won’t let her escape at 12-1 on the line.
Race 7: 1-4-6
#1 Waymond Boyd goes two turns for the first time, but this $725,000 should handle it. Three-year-old has experience on the rail which only helps. #4 Dead Easy will get a nice set up with Got Even and Brimstoned setting the pace. #6 Grazen Sky broke his maiden off a layoff in January. Well rested for this race and looms large.
Race 8: 2-4-5
Don’t want to take too short a price on #2 Jury, but the two Bafferts will take large chunk of money too. Stretch out to 7 panels shouldn’t pose a problem; stalk and pounce on the frontrunners with a chance to save ground for Bejarano. #4 Toews On Ice looks quickest from the bell and even though he had to get away from Del Mar to break his maiden, he’s rolling too good to totally dismiss. A private purchase now in the hands of Kathy Ritvo, #5 Mac Daddy Mac pulled off the upset in his debut. Not sure if he’s ready for this caliber field yet, but he’s sneaky in this spot.
Race 9: 3-4-1
#3 Eric the Trojan one of several first time starters in the finale. Solid bloodlines for this son of More than Ready and 6-1 price is enough to endorse. We will learn a little bit more about #4 Watch My Dust based on how Mac Daddy Mac fares in the Bob Hope. Regardless, having a race under his belt shouldn’t be underestimated. #1 Agronomy went off favored down the hill. Switch of surfaces, scenery, and better price all reasons why he deserves a look.
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