Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, September 2, 2016
On Friday, we’re headed out to Del Mar where we’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS from returning guest handicapper Sebastian Piscuskas (@seabass912).
Sebastian has been one of our featured West Coast handicappers for some time now. His picks at Del Mar and Santa Anita appear on most Fridays on Danonymous Racing. We thank Sebastian for sharing his thoughts today. We encourage you to give him a follow on Twitter when you get a chance. Take it away, Sebastian…
Race 1: #5 Shehastheritestuff has run two credible races around two turns on grass, including a much better than appeared fourth place finish in her last start as the post time favorite. The course early on in the meet was not kind to anyone near the pace and for this daughter of Unusual Heat to make a bold move into the stretch and flatten out hints at her ability. She’ll once again sit close early and will be the one to beat in the lane. #3 She’s Got Style gets a huge jock switch that cannot be ignored. She’s a 5YO mare who is only making the third start of her career, which would be concerning for any other barn except for Kenny Black. She’ll be coming in the lane. #4 La Premiere Etoile needed her last race off the layoff and ran to it. She’s come back with a solid maintenance move over the main track and will show more of herself today. 5-3-4
Race 2: #4 California Diamond was done in by the post switch in his last start yet ran a credible second. Desormeaux gets aboard. Pay close attention to the worktab. #2 Elwood J was fantastic on debut. The Vronsky gelding ran his competition off his feet and returns in a month to tackle this stake. #1 Rinse and Repeat has some talent but hasn’t quite put it all together just yet. He’s in trouble with the rail draw and will need to get lucky. 4-2-1-6
Race 3: #2 Trust Your Gut loomed large in his last race and was flat as a board in the stretch. I don’t hold that race against him as he surely needed the race in his first start since January. Glatt has put him through his paces in the morning since and Bejarano sees fit to stick around on this gelded son of City Zip. #1 Start a Runnin nearly sprung the massive upset in the same race as the top pick. He got leg weary late but really did run exceptionally well. He now cuts back a half furlong and will again be gunning from the bell. #3 Junior Gilliam is a half to calbred sire Grazen and that means a lot to me. He should truly appreciate turf for connections who point to Del Mar. 2-1-3
Race 4: #10 Resistanceisfutile keeps running strong races and draws another wide gate in career start number 7. Arroyo is the hottest jock in the colony and sticks around for Becerra. #8 Big Champion runs first off the claim for Glatt after flopping at a short price on debut. I’ve never met a Munnings I didn’t like and the way he’s been working since the claim he’s quickly working his way up the list. #11 Trump Diesel has been unseen since flopping on debut in a key race. He’s been gelded since and has really taken to Del Mar in the morning. With any sort of improvement the Miller trainee will be dangerous. 10-8-11
Race 5: #2 Shysheisnot will appreciate the drop in class and the huge jock change. Pereira/Machoswky have been lethal this meet and Machowsky himself is striking at a 45% clip. This mare does her best running on the pace and catches a field with little other true early speed. #4 Lady’s Lunar Luck ran much better than expected in her first start on this coast. She’ll need to repeat her most recent effort to be dangerous here but how does one say no to a 12 time winner? 2-4-10
Race 6: #3 Start to Finish showed a lot of heart on debut when she set a contested pace and ran away from her competition while on her wrong lead. The Good Journey filly is eligible for this race because of her race at the maiden 40k level. She should continue to move forward. #9 Sausalito Sunset looked strong in her maiden score and has been waiting for this condition since. Koriner has had a strong meet and Maldonado is hungry for success. 3-9-10
Race 7: #2 Lily Pod finished two lengths off of the winner in 108.1 off of a more than six-month layoff. Easily the fastest race of the meet, the fact that the D’Amato trainee, who was more likely than not in need of a start, ran as well as she did indicates a big move forward from her past form. She ran well in her lone try at this distance on the grass and will likely improve today. #8 Pretty N Cool used the Rancho Bernardo as her bounce race and immediately hops on the grass off of that dull effort. This filly was practically built for 5F on the grass and should run lights out. #7 Crowley’s Law is interesting at 5F. She owns a second place finish to Tepin and moves like a horse who will enjoy a sprint. Perhaps she’ll be better suited down the hill. 2-8-7-5
Race 8: #10 L.A. Tower worked quick at Los Al and has been consistent since coming over to Del Mar in early August. He was purchased as a weanling for 40k and debuts for 50k. Gomez has been sneaky this meet. #8 Hawks Peak debuts with nice works for Glatt. He was stopped on for about a month in early July and resurfaced down here and has not missed a beat since. A 20k yearling at Keeneland September, the upside may be there. #6 Two Thirty Five will likely need a start but his pedigree is beautiful. One to follow moving forward. 10-8-6-5
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