Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, May 20, 2016
It’s an especially exciting time at Canterbury, especially after the track moved to drop its takeout rates to the lowest levels in the industry. When it comes to Canterbury, Johnny is our go-to-guy. He’s the racing handicapper for the Minneapolis Star Tribune and one of the most knowledgeable horse players anywhere. We thank Johnny for sharing his selections here, and wish good luck to everyone playing along!
Race 3 Pensador
50 cent Pick 4
Race 1 (2,3,5,6,7/1,7/4,7/2,4,5,6,7) $50
Race 1: 3-5-2-7
RANGER’S DREAM looks tough dropping in class after facing much tougher at Keeneland and the Fair Grounds. Deserving favorite to kick off the Canterbury season. GET COZY is eligible to spring the upset with Dean Butler aboard if she can shake loose from the pack with her early speed. GAMER BABE appears to be the late closing threat and could benefit from contested fractions.
Race 2: 1-7-3-2
KENJIISLUCKY has gotten the job done only once in 12 starts but looks to have found the right spot to get his second win. Chased the pace last out to finish second to a next out winner, no excuses today. HOT HAND appears to be lone rival with opportunity to beat our top choice. Contaminated start last out blew all chances for second career win, interesting option if you don’t like the favorite. SUPREME STATURE gets a new barn moving to this track from Tampa, consideration for the underneath exotics.
Race 3: 7-4-1-6
PENSADOR has some sharp works for his return after the eight month layoff. Will be awfully tough to beat if regains his form from last season, in the money in all three starts. Stablemate CUPID’S DELIGHT, too has been training smartly and figures to be in the hunt when it counts. Price should be more attractive than his roommate at post. KING GEORGE comes off the bench after two local starts last season including a win first time out.
Race 4: 4-7-5-1
With a lack of group speed, look for jockey Franco to take DISTRACTION to the front with his speed and try to lead the field to the wire in our first turf race of the meet. STOUPINATOR is strictly the one to beat out of the Robertson barn with the class edge over her combatants. Should be doing her best running late. HIP NINETY THREE was brought down after getting the win last out for bumping her rival late, price will be right to give her a look.
Race 5: 9-7-2-6
BAR FIGHT has been showing good early speed before dropping the anchor prior to the wire, might be good enough to keep sailing if unchallenged early. RICHARD THOMAS supports a couple of bullet drills off the extended layoff and should find himself involved from the bell with Alex Canchari at the helm. Bernell Rhone sends out a couple prospects with DARRENATOR and PITCH PERFECTION. Both got the minor awards in their lone start at Tampa and look capable of taking the next step forward.
Race 6: 1-2-4-7
MINNESOTA OUTLAW will attempt sprinting for the first time in effort of breaking his maiden. Exits a best-last-race speed figure at two turns. TRUE WEST jumps off the turf for new trainer with solid numbers across the board. Wouldn’t be surprised to see this colt do much better in this dirt sprint. ORFAN OLE appears to be the one to catch to get the win but has yet to make a dent in 18 career starts.
Race 7: 2-4-6-7
BOURBON COUNTY returns to defend his 10,000 Lakes Sprint title where he won by over seven lengths against a tough field. Appears ready to fire with two sharp bullet drills coming in. Canterbury’s 2015 Horse of the Year HOLD FOR MORE, will come out firing setting the pace and simply is the one to hunt to get the gold medal. Has the speed and ability to go all the way on the lead. A P IS LOOSE is no slouch after a successful 2015 campaign, I just feel he’s better suited going longer.
Race 8: 3-1-7-8
Most wide open race of the evening but give slight edge to REDNECK ATTACK after his late closing third place finish at Oaklawn Park last out, should have enough speed in front of him to pick up the pieces. LAW DOG drew away from the field in last effort at Turf Paradise going gate-to-wire, drawing the rail with his speed adds appeal. SATURDAY’SLIGHT has tactical speed to challenge up front if so chooses, second best last out after stalking the pace.
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