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Friday, June 24, 2016
On Friday, we’re headed out to Belmont Park, where we’ve got FREE PICKS & ANALYSIS from returning guest handicapper Mark DiLorenzo Jr. (@MarkDiloJr).
Mark is another one of our favorite young handicappers. He spends endless hours analyzing races every week. Over the winter he provided his picks and analysis at Gulfstream ever Saturday, and this summer he’s our regular New York handicapper every Friday.
We’re thrilled to have him with us and encourage you to follow him on Twitter, when you get a chance.
Take it away, Mark…
It’s Twilight Racing Friday at Belmont Park and I’ll be there, because yes I have a real job (as most do who have a few bucks) and enjoy when racing is on when I can WATCH IT!!!! #HvNightRacing #MakeNYRAgreatAgain 🙂 Use my thoughts with your own and PRINT SOME MONEY!!
On Top: Nick Zito has not won a race at Belmont all meet…but he will today, in today’s opener. #7 Vilma was running vs much better this winter in Florida, and when he shipped to Keeneland also ran up against salty Maidens. Back when Zito use to have a better win percentage I saw him win with turf to dirt all the time, and that’s what will happen today.
Underneath: #5 Heliodoro 6-1: I even like the other Zito in here as his first time vs Md Claimers he broke through the gate and never had a chance. Let’s play back if the price I right, and get Mr. Zito his first Belmont win. #1 River Date has tons of question marks but has run well off the bench before and if he takes money I’ll be sure to use him on my pk5. #3 Perfect Execution has a nice improving sheet line. Another move forward she can win here.
Race 2: 2/1,6,8
On Top: #2 Verdigris 3-1: This 4yo filly gets into the Cox barn out of Mr Lynn Whiting’s barn, who I learned today, was the trainer of 1992 Kentucky Derby winner Lil E. Tee. I suspect in 2016 this one is getting a trainer upgrade and doesn’t need to be that much more improved to win this one at a nice price.
Underneath: If Chris Englehart scratches one of his two ill like that one even more and will definitely use that one on my pk 5. #8 Game Girl is logical but I had on the front of a slow pace, vs a bad field last time out, will use but not on top. If spreading deeper on this pick 5 use the #7 who improved a lot as a 3yo last time out and was near the lead on a faster pace, and #9 who goes first time Gullo, but why didn’t Gullo bring back earlier? Only once he has won off the claim over 60 days off.
Race 3: 3 / 4,6
On Top: #3 Mills 8-1: Very interesting race as Pletcher will send out a stakes quality horse who has not raced since 2015. He is the best off any type of layoff and I’ll use defensively in my pk5 but not using on top. #3 Mills will be a nice price and is fast enough to win this race. Since getting back to one turn this horse has gotten better. This 6y gelding is losing to Lucky Lotto and Unbridled Juan,and last time out he closed into a modest pace.
Underneath: #4 It’s All Relevant 2-1: I really like the race he is coming out of two back but this 3yo vs older will be up against it here. He made a strong 3 pt move on the sheets last time and if regresses won’t win. #6 Far From Over 6/5: will use, see above why.
Race 4: 5/7,4
On Top: #5 Spectrolite 4-1: David Donk use to not win with firsters but has this meet a few times. This 4yo first time out ran very fast early and still ran a very respectable second on May 26th. He should improve off that effort but a little cautious as that May 26th day at Belmont I felt favored front end speed slightly on the dirt track.
Underneath: If you want to spread this race I couldn’t talk you off of anyone. I will definitely use the Jerkens first time starter #7 Conservationist and #4 Tea and Cricket who is bred more for dirt and rac a nice race last time out, after having a bad start but making a nice middle move.
Race 5: 2/5,6 ,4
On Top: #2 Blue Pigeon 20-1: This one has a big shot. This horse is going to save a lot of ground and will probably be closer to the lead, as Carmouche gets the call. He is just as fast as any of these and last two he was close to a fast pace that totally collapsed.
Underneath: #5 Hurry Up Alan 6-1: This horse was hurt last summer when he should have been running on turf, and if you look back far enough you see nice turf races in his career, must use for me on pk5. #6 Front I’ll use on pick 5 and is DAJ scratches him here I’ll like Hurry Up Alan A LOT MORE. It looks very strange for Mott to drop #4 Mobridge into this spot after being off for 518 days. But I checked DRF Formulator and second time off a layoff going from Allowance to Claiming, Mott doesn’t do it often but is 5 for 13.
Race 6: 9/2,6,3
On Top: #9 Spearhead 5-1: Let’s see if Party at the Park Friday turns into the Englehart show…#9 Spearhead is going to get loose on the lead and cleat this suspect field. Fast enough on sheets to win easy.
Underneath: #2 Data Driven toss any Chad Brown runner out of your pk4 at your own risk, I won’t play on top but def a use on late pick 4. Made very nice sheet move off the layoff. Restricting also gives me more confidence. #6 Bankers Holiday has decent turf pedigree and was against a very closer friendly turf track last time out, worth using on horizontals at a price. #3 Quality Indeed has lots of question marks IMO, but worth using if taking money on this first leg of the late pick 4.
Race 7: 6/2,4
On Top: #6 Anna Rae 5-1: I was very impressed with this 3yo filly on Black Eyed Susan Day. She checked at the top of the turn and then gathered herself to rerally and finish a nice third in the opening race that day. This one has talent and if she goes off at 5-1 im playing to win.
Underneath: #2 Justoneofakind is talented enough if she reverts back to her 4yo form, but im afraid to play a dirt horse this long a layoff. I do like very nice Linda Rice spaced works leading into race though. #6 Anna Rae had a tough trip and closed into modest fractions last time out. As I said earlier, is it Engelhardt day at Belmont? #4 Taurine 4-1: I was very impressed by this 3yo first time out. She took dirt and skimmed the rail to just get up. Adds Lasix, will improve, and is a must use in late pk4.
Race 8: 9/2,6
On Top: #9 Take These Chains (Ire) 2-1: I have been waiting for this one to run back for a long time now. I was super impressed with at GP when she closed into a soft pace and won for fun. Since that race six horses have run back and three have won. My only issue is where has she been? Has perfect Chad Brown spacing workouts for me to feel confident in but wish she came back a little sooner, for me to have full single/press/win bet confidence in.
Underneath: #2 Half Irish is talented but her maiden score was against a weak field and was on the front end of a speed friendly turf course and slow pace. Clement has been winning with “his other horse” in these spots lately so im use #6 Almina defensively as this one has ok turf pedigree and took a ton of money her first time out winning at Tampa.
Race 9: 6/8,5
On Top: #6 Meatball Maddnes 8-1: This one’s mom is a stakes winning turfer. In a field that is soft I’m looking for this one to get to the front end, like she did her first turf start, and stay there with talented bug boy Jomar Torres aboard.
Underneath: #5 Young Anna Lee 5-1: The dam here is a stakes winning turfer, but I question why they have not let this one show her stuff on turf yet? #8 Lulu’s Blues is a turf horse through and through, so toss the last two tries out the window. Her first time out she was behind a soft pace, made a decent middle move, and took money. He will be on all my pk4 tickets.
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