Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, February 24, 2017
Today on Danonymous Racing, we’ll take the road way, way off the beaten path, all the way to Grand Island, Nebraska. There, Fonner Park begins their 2017 racing season with a nine-race program, with a first post time of 2:00 PM EST.
We’ve got FREE picks & analysis of the whole card from Rob MacLennan (@RobMacASD)! Rob served as the track handicapper at Assiniboia Downs, near Winnipeg, over the summer, and we’re happy to have him as part of the Danonymous Racing crew.
Take it away, Rob!
Race 1: Selection: #3 Grass and Cactus (5/2 ML). A four-furlong dash kicks off the card. Early in brand new meets I feel it is crucial to go with horses who can run well early, or are already fit. Grass and Cactus is a Turf Paradise invader who made two good starts after taking a big drop in class and then last time he was never in the race that went very fast early. The barn has good numbers and has proven to be able to win with new horses. I except Grass and Cactus to show speed and dash away at a short price.
Race 2: Selection: #5 Love at Night (7/2 ML). Nebraska bred maiden fillies and mares make up the field for the second race. Love At Night comes in off two published works including a bullet on February 14th of this year. This filly also had several works in 2016 at Fonner including some fast-half-mile works before being put away for the summer. The barn campaigned the stakes winning mare who won at first asking for the same trainer by 9 and ¾ lengths. The mare has thrown two winners as well and this filly could certainly pop on debut.
Race 3: Selection: #4 One Voice (6/1 ML). This field of NW3 in 2016/17 claimers is slightly devoid of speed. The race he ran September 3rd at Columbus showed speed and drew off to win by 2 lengths was an impressive race. If he can duplicate that race he could flash in this field. There aren’t a ton of other options and his best races are good enough to win if he’s fit and ready to go.
Race 4: Selection: #7 Golden Brown Sugar (6/1 ML). This mare won at first asking in a tough race last year at Fonner. Now if she shows speed from the outside she certainly can get into a good spot. Four furlongs should be a good distance for her and if she gets a jump on the two inside horses she can be better value with a head start.
Race 5: Selection: #3 Crhossgo (5/2 ML). This mare was scratched today at Delta Downs and was entered here for the new connections. She has rapid early speed and will get the rail going four furlongs. That is a decided advantage and she will be a short price. I know it’s scary to leave the Broberg barn but she should be quick enough to dash away. I would use Saucy Shadow to sit off her and chase her around.
Race 6: Selection: #1 Classy Affair (8/1 ML). This mare is a perfect example of a horse who runs incredibly well fresh. In 2011 she ran third in a $20,000 stake in her only start of the year. In 2012 she ran third on debut before winning in her second start. In 2013 she won at Fonner at first asking going four furlongs. In 2014 she was in an impossible spot in her first start before she won at second asking. On her DRF lines you can see her 2015 win at first asking and last year she tried the boys going 6 ½ furlongs and ran second behind a horse who came back to win before she came to win the second time. She returns to the barn of her Breeder and the conditioner who had the most success with her. Look for Classy Affair to dash away from the rail and try to pull the upset.
Race 7: Selection: #7 My Grandson (7/2 ML). This Turf Paradise invader has shown very good speed in recent races and he is the fittest of the field and from the outside going a half mile he should be able to clear and hold on. The competition from Will It Thunder and Tebow Time should push him but his fitness should be able to overcome.
Race 8: Selection: #10 Mongol Call (5/1 ML). This filly was claimed last time for $7,500 and now off the layoff comes back and goes for a barn that has very good success with these types. In years past you can go count on the Compton Sr. barn to win with new purchases and off layoffs. The barn is 4 for 10 with these layoffs and is 35% overall. I except her to be up close and be very tough to beat with Chris Fackler aboard.
Race 9: Selection: #1 Ahbudd (2/1 ML). Some speed from the rail to end the card. He has run well off the long layoffs in the past and I will take a shot that he can save some ground and get the job done. The race is competitive though for sure.
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