Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Sunday, August 12, 2018
There’s a great card on tap at Del Mar today, with the Rancho Bernardo Handicap serving as the feature. We’re happy to have Sebastian Piscuskas (@seabass912) providing his thoughts on the card. Sebastian handicapped Fridays in California for a while, and now he’s back, covering Sundays at Del Mar. Give him a follow on twitter if you can.
Good luck to everyone playing along out there!
Race 1: #6 Jimmy Chila was one of four winners on Opening Day for Doug O’Neill. The Jimmy Creed colt grabbed the lead from the rail, shrugged off pressure, and finished powerfully through the line on a pace that ended up being relatively quick for the day. Now with Ellis, Jimmy Chila moves up the ladder for his first try off the claim. Gutierrez sticks aboard. Should get another good trip. #4 True Loyalty maneuvered through traffic and finished with interest at this level last time put. Hot apprentice Figueroa takes the call for the hard closer who is much handier than his last. A short field gives him little traffic concerns.
Race 2: #2 Carville set a wicked tempo in the first race of the meet. Those fractions were some of the quickest we’ve seen so far, routing and sprinting, over a dead rail, and understandably got tired. Periban is 0-for with his first time claims but should be viewed positively that’s he’s brought the horse back so quickly. Gets a key 7lb weight break. #7 Crown the Kitten also exits the key Opening Day kick off race. He really was finishing through the line when chasing Just Kidding, who came back for 12.5k and ran second, and well meant winner Popular Kid. #3 Senator Robert makes a class move in the hopes of waking him up. He’s horribly out of form but is capable on his best day.
Race 3: #3 Anonymity is sharp and she’s good. When she’s on her game she’s as good as any of these. While she lacks seasoning she makes up for it with talent. #4 Skye Diamonds is the old pro who is Anonymity’s main danger. She’s been such a hard knocking mare since being claimed by Spawr. If she runs her race she’s right there. This is a fun stake.
Race 4: #7 Neon Gypsy runs first off the claim for Sherlock. The Square Eddie filly raced over a very deep course in her last race where the winner ran off the screen in a time only a few ticks slower than the GI Bing Crosby. Neon Gypsy has some tactical speed but is a much better closer and has pace to run into. #8 No Wine Untasted dropped to win in an impressive fashion and cuts back in her first start against winners. The Kruljac Reiner has some solid early foot but appears to be rateable. Very tough race.
Race 5: #4 Go Daddy Go debuts as a 200k OBS April purchase for Jay Em Ess. The Scat Daddy colt showcased a fluid stride, long, stride while being efficient with his movement. The Koriner trainee has earned the bullet at 4f as far back as June, and earned the bullet over this surface at 5f in his last work. If he’s fit for the mile he will be there at the wire. #5 Ready to Forgive ran an honest race on debut at Arlington and adds Lasix for his CA debut. Wilkes is adept with his turf runners and there’s no reason this one will not fit the bill. (More than Ready o/o of Giant’s Causeway mare. Wow.) #1 Magnificent McCool sheds the blinkers for start two after getting run off his feet by well regarded Rowayton. The Giant’s Causeway colt should enjoy the grass and the opportunity to stretch his legs around the mile. 4-5-1-10
Race 6: #1 Palace Paynter dueled on a swift pace and got buried by a runaway winner in an open 20k claimer. The Paynter filly drops in class but must contend with the rail. With that said, she appears to be speed of the speed and will likely compromise anyone who goes with her early. #7 Smart Rachel exits a live 16k N2L against a filly who was well above the level. The B G Stables homebred broke her maiden in fine style at Los Al and has to be considered for improvement in her second start over the surface. #9 We Will Re Joyce is a six time winner against a field mostly comprised of lower level maiden winners. The Kafwain filly makes her first start off the claim for Morey and is looking for four wins in a row.
Race 7: #8 My Mandate debuts with strong works for Glatt. The 135k Kee September purchase has taken to the Del Mar surface and appears to have a little early foot. Homebred #3 Aardvark flew around the Los Al oval before getting a maintenance drill over the Del Mar main. The Raison d’Etat colt looks swift and should be around the early lead. #10 Spin Lightning debuts with a consistent worktab for Mullins, who unfortunately for the Hard Spun colt, is just 3% with his first time starters. I expect this one’s best races to come down the road. Keep an eye on #6 Gray Magician once he gets on grass. His dam was a hard knocking turf filly on this circuit.
Race 8: #5 East Rand got going late but had too much to do when closing in a bizarrely run race where the winner was able to sneak through an opening onto the backstretch when the pacesetter blew the turn. The Denmark class dropper has faced some stiff competition and will relish the class relief. There appears to be enough pace for him to run into. #2 Shadow Sphinx sheds the blinkers in his first start for Baltas. The Kentucky invader has run a pair of thirds from three starts on grass and has run some of his best numbers on the lawn. Leading rider Prat takes the call for a leading turf barn. Solid works at San Luis Rey. #3 Flip the Coin Jan was carried wide onto the backstretch and was virtually eliminated in his last start from a wide gate. The Trappe Shot colt gets a post upgrade and should sit a cozy trip today.
Race 9: #Sky Babe is a debuting Tommy Town homebred hailing from the Morey barn. The Minister’s Wild Cat filly has a steady work tab and appears to have done her best work over the Del Mar main track. J/T/O have already popped with a first timer this meet and appear primed to do it again. #2 Give Me a Hint is another homebred, this one by precocious speedster Merit Man. The juvenile has been working head up with an older winner. Desormeaux/Hess Jr. are a potent combo, particularly at Del Mar. #7 Pretty Hussar ran a winning race on debut and returns at the level while getting a positive jockey switch. The Palma trainee is the best of the known commodity.
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