Breeders’ Cup Picks & Previews: Mile, by Rob Harding

Breeders’ Cup Race Previews and Picks

Mile

by Rob Harding

@Harding_Rob

All week long on Danonymous Racing, we’ll have picks & analysis for all 13 Breeders’ Cup races from the Danonymous cast. We’ll kick things off with the Mile, handicapped by Rob Harding, one of our east coast handicappers. Take it away, Rob!

Recent Winners:

2016- Tourist

2015 – Tepin

2014 – Karakontie

2013 – Wise Dan

2012– Wise Dan

Breeders’ Cup Mile:

ON TOP:

4 Lancaster Bomber 20-1 ML

USE IN EXOTICS:

6 Zelzal 20-1 ML

11 Ballagh Rocks 12-1 ML

10 Ribchester 7-2 ML

There is one thing and one thing only I know for sure regarding the Breeders Cup Mile. The early pace has a legit chance to be run in sub 45 flat, which is certainly saying something with a race of this distance.

With the likes of Heart to Heart, Midnight Storm, Blackjackcat, and World Approval all wanting to be forwardly placed, this has a great chance to setup well for a horse from off the pace, particularly Lancaster Bomber. Lancaster Bomber has shown very well in two North American starts to date, a 2nd in last year’s BC Juvenile Turf, and a 2nd in the Woodbine Mile just 6 weeks ago. Not only does the pace projection setup well for this one, the return to firm ground should be a big help to this one, who clearly likes the hard ground of an American turf course moreso than the soft ground he gets overseas.

Ribchester is an obvious use in every vertical bet as the horse shows every single time. My longshot plays are Zelzal, a French bred who has been off form in 2017 but is another who gets a return to the firm ground, similar to that of the firm ground at Chantilly which he glided over last June in romping to a G1 win, as well as Ballagh Rocks, the honest miler who always seems to show up for Donegal and Bill Mott.

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