Breeders’ Cup Picks & Previews: Juvenile Fillies, by Brett Strong

Breeders’ Cup Race Previews and Picks

Juvenile Fillies

by Brett Strong

@storiesdub

All week long on Danonymous Racing, we’ll have picks & analysis for all 13 Breeders’ Cup races from the Danonymous cast. We’ve got our Kentucky handicapper, Brett Strong, covering the Juvenile Fillies, the first Breeders’ Cup race on Saturday. Good luck to everyone playing along!

Past Winners:

2016- Champagne Room

2015- Songbird

2014- Take Charge Brandi

2013- Ria Antonia

2012- She’s a Tiger

This is a nice field here for the 14 Hands Winery Juvenile Fillies.  I have broken it into three groups.  Pretenders, basically the group I feel are fillers for the race.  Have A Shot, those I can’t endorse as win first candidates but have interesting pieces that could make them good bets.  Contenders, the main group of those I think are primed and ready for nice performances.  I’m looking for a stalk and pounce style runner to get the job done.  With a fair amount of speed signed on, I think we get a hot pace to set up some runners to get rolling late.  Good luck and I hope you enjoy the Breeders Cup Championships!  It is always a great two days of racing!

Pretenders-

Tell Your Mama

Princess Warrior

Gio Game

Blonde Bomber

Have a Shot-

Stainless – Pletcher and Johnny V for the cash is tough to ignore. Don’t love the speed figures on this one.

Maya Malibu – Comes out of a strong race and was stuck down on the rail in it.  JJ will

likely give this horse a solid ride.

Wonder Gadot – Not sure how the transition in surface will be a factor but has some ability with solid races and is likely to be overlooked at the window.

Caledonia Road – This all comes down to Mike Smith.  Horse made a big jump in figures and that’s tough for most to repeat and/or beat next out.

Alluring Star – This Baffert runner comes out of the Chandelier like one of my contenders but I think that race comes up kind of soft.  Baffert typically has his runners ready in these situations but I don’t like the regression in speed figures and I’m not sold on Talamo in this spot.

Contenders- (in order 4-1)

#4- Piedi Bianchi – Has some good races heading into this one.  Already has good experience over the track.  O’Neill will jump up and get you out West so at a price, worth a look, even though I think it’s previous races come up a little light.

#3- Moonshine Memories – Proven out here on the west coast but not sure how good the fields were.  This is a salty group and while I think will be a contender, I can’t make top choice.  Add in Callaghan doesn’t have the best numbers in graded stakes, makes it even tougher.  Prat on board is a positive and he has been riding well lately.

#2- Seperationofpowers – Two things kept me from making this one my top pick.  Draws a bad post way out in the 13 hole and the pattern of speed figures suggests a good/bad performance record.  Coming off a career best and large jump from the Spinaway to Frizzette, worries me a bit that we could see a “back to earth” performance in this spot.  I could be wrong and could easily see the added distance being a plus for this one but the negatives outweigh the positives for me.

#1 – Heavenly Love – I think this one for Casse is a nice one.  Draws a favorable post to stalk and pounce which Leparoux is good at.  There is plenty of speed signed on here so that also bodes well for Heavenly Love’s running style.  I just hope Leparoux doesn’t wait too long and run out of real estate when he lets this one go.  My only complaint here is that the speed figures aren’t all that great but I think this one is sitting on a nice performance for BC.

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