Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Friday, July 13, 2018
There’s twilight racing on this Friday afternoon at Belmont Park, the final one of the meet. Next week, of course, the action will shift over to Saratoga. In the meantime, the first race out of nine will go at 3:00 PM EDT.
We’re happy to have Paul Hundley (@virginiaslim67) providing FREE picks & analysis of the program. Paul’s a long-time contributor to Danonymous, and he’s back to provide analysis of the action at Belmont. Give him a follow on twitter if you get the chance.
Good luck to everyone playing along out there!
Hello again and welcome to the final Friday of racing for the Spring/Summer meet at Belmont Park. Lol last week was a little more like it with a positive ROI for our top selections so let’s see if we can close it out strong today. Let’s get to it!
RACE 1: 3-5
A small field of 5 with little early speed on paper.
3-PAULA’S PISTOL looks to be on the lead early here and comes in off an impressive 3 length win vs n2L. Manny Franco rode her to triumph that day and rides again today. She has a 5-2-1-1 record at today’s distance.
5-Daria’s Angel also broke out of the n2L level last out and could challenge top pick on front end. David Cohen and Robert Diodoro are 22% together recently.
RACE 2: 2-6
2-KREESIE should have ample enough pace to close into today and comes in off a win in the 100K New York Stallion Stakes. My only concern is if the 6 furlong distance is going to be too short for her. Jose Ortiz has ridden her twice, probably not so coincidentally it was both her career wins.
6-Driven by Speed was 4th at today’s level when last seen last November for Todd Pletcher, but does have a win here at today’s level last October. Pletcher 32% with long layoffs.
RACE 3: 2-3
2-MY WON LOVE was 4th last when she lost her footing at the start in a state bred Optional Claimer here in April, snapping a 2 race win streak. Has a win at this price on the state bred level.
3-Just Got Out has been beaten 56 lengths her last two starts buy before that had won an entry level allowance and a 100K Stakes at Aqueduct. A return to form could mean her being on the early pace.
RACE 4: 7-8-3
7-SINGLE MISSION looks like the most logical of a weak group. Has a closing 3rd at 6 furlongs last out while 2 back set the pace before settling for a well beaten 2nd in a race taken off the turf onto a sloppy, sealed track.
8-Smart and Sassy drops from MSW for fist time in her 8 Race career and could be showing early speed today.
RACE 5: 9-8-5
9-MISSION COMMAND drops from Optional Claiming level to today’s $25K, the last time he ran for a tag he scored an almost 3 length win October 26th here at the distance. Rudy Rodriguez 22% second off the layoff.
8-Canarsie Kid looks to be the pacesetter here and early speed has done fairly well at the distance this meet. Was 3rd of 10 vs open $25K claimers last out.
RACE 6: 10-7-6
10-CHARNLEY RIVER failed as the 6/5 favorite last out at 6 furlongs here and was claimed by Robert Falcone, who’s 23% first off the claim. Falcone has been having an outstanding year so far, hitting 36% from 42 starters. Switches to Kendrick Carmouche.
7-Rappel is second off the layoff for Robert Ribaudo and drops back to this level after two tries versus starter allowance company. Three back just missed at this level.
6-Desert Lights broke her maiden last out in a race in the slop taken off the turf, in debut was 4th of 12 after DQ at today’s distance here. First off the claim for Brad Cox (30%), and dirt to turf (35%)
RACE 7: 11-6-9
11-SCRIPTED broke her maiden last out in her turf debut, granted was 14-1 but this field isn’t the toughest for sure and why not take a chance with a horse that has done nothing wrong so far on the surface and will be a nice price? Trainer Gary Sciacca is 23% with horses who broke their maiden last out.
6-Saratoga Treasure was 3rd at this level last out and I believe this lightly raced filly still has room to improve.
9-Orchid Party debuted on turf last out in the NY Stallion Stakes beaten 11 lengths but had shown some real talent on dirt and she deserves another shot versus a weak bunch.
RACE 8: 2-1
2-TWISTED TOM hasn’t raced since last October and ended 2017 with a 3 race win streak. Chad Brown hits almost 30% with long layoffs, and should control the pace here.
1-Pat on the Back has just missed his last two vs Suburban winner Diversify and Eye Luv Lulu. Makes second start for Jeremiah Englehart (29%).
RACE 9: 6-3-7-9
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