Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Next week, Aqueduct’s got the biggest card of their winter meet: the Gotham Stakes, for New York’s finest Derby prospects. In the meantime, there’s a nine-race card in Queens, New York this Saturday, headlined by the Busher Stakes. It’ll be the eighth of nine races on the program, the first of which is scheduled to go off at 12:50 PM EST.
We’ve got Mike Mahon (@MikeMahonPA) with picks & analysis of the program. Mike’s been writing about New York racing for a while now, and we’re happy to have him back for the Aqueduct meet. Give him a follow on twitter if you can.
Good luck, and take it away, Mike!
Race 1, 7 Furlongs, Maiden Claiming $31,000
I’ll open the day with chalk, and go with the 1, 5 exacta.
Race 2, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Allowance $67,000
2,6 w 2,6 w 3,5
Both 3 Bow Town Cat and 5 Tiz Rae Anna step back up to this class after impressive showings at the $25,000 level. They’ve both, however, been humiliated at the $67,000 level. What does this mean for this afternoon’s handicapper? Look elsewhere. I’ll assume we will see a hot pace, and the pressers will come on. This opens up a moderately priced 6,2 exacta with 3,5 underneath.
Race 3, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Maiden $60,000
1 w 5
These two are both rather precocious, and should make for an interesting match race.
Race 4, 6 Furlongs, Claiming $10,000
1 to win
Who’s gonna wanna set the pace today? As much as I may be rooting for 8 Lady Constance , this race sets up a little too nicely to ignore 1 Exchanging Secrets. She’s bounced around among different barns over the past couple of contests but she belongs at this level and, more importantly, she draws the rail and should be able to get out front quickly.
Race 5, 1 1/8 Mile, Allowance $67,000
2 to win
I’m going with a biiiiiiggg upset here – 2 Jet Black is the lone speed in this route. He’s stepping up in class and draws a post towards the rail.
Race 6, 6 Furlongs, Allowance $50,000
3 w 1
Look for 1 I Want Mo to lead most of the way, but 3 Sicilia Mike should have a little more gas in the tank down the backstretch.
Race 7, 1 Mile, Allowance $57,000
2 to win
The upsets spill over into what could be a rather lucrative daily double. This one sets up nicely for 2 Special Story. He should be in good shape if he’s able to get out front. It’s a bit of a gamble, but none of his contestants impress too much.
Race 8, 1 Mile, Busher Stakes $200,000
The feature race on today’s card could end up paying out a hefty trifecta. 7 Shamrock Rose is a bit of an inconsistent runner, but she seems to step up or down to her competition. Look for a big showing this afternoon. 3 Midnight Disguise is a vulnerable favorite that should be coming on at the end, but unfortunately fall short. And finally, I’m putting 5 Blue Union Rags to show and round out a fatty trifecta.
Race 9, 6 Furlongs, Maiden Claiming $40,000
7 to win
Willie Mays Hayes would describe today’s last jaunt as, “some has-been and a couple of never-will-bes.” Have you looked at the speed figures for some of these runners? 4 Classy Cara put up an 11 her last out. What may be more surprising, is that she’s 20/1 on the morning line. I can’t imagine not putting her at 99/1. In any event, somebody’s gotta win and I’ll go with 7 Starlite Mission.
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