Free Picks & Analysis — Who Do Ya Like?
Saturday, December 8, 2018
Winter is coming, and I don’t mean Westeros. The cold has set in and the racing in Ozone Park will move exclusively to the dirt for the next few months, save a few grass races that give us hope for warmer climates. That being said, there is still plenty of money to be made on today’s card and we have every intention of doing just that. Good luck to all, let’s hit the windows!
10 – Ramblin’Ma’am – looks like the right price with the outside draw after two tough beats recently. Maragh stays on and brings a very nice work from 11/21 into this start. Today is the day.
4 – Zecha – she’s been very unlucky in her last four and will likely go off as the favorite here. Sports a very nice work since the last defeat.
2 – Missbigtimes – should show speed from the jump and has a chance to take them all the way. I think she gets caught late, however.
6 – My Won Love – likes to sit off the pace and I think she gets a nice setup today. Watch for her to be rolling late.
7 – Lady Bergen – the absolute speed in here, but just like her last race she’ll have company up front. I think she has the goods, but the 6 will have the jump on her in the lane.
8 – Moondance Joy – looked good at this level last out and should also benefit from the speedy pace up front.
1 – Princess Pinky – cuts back to the sprinting distance and shows a couple of nice works since the last off-turf effort. Hope she gets a good break.
5 – Shelly Ann – first start was in stakes company and drops down for this after an absolute bullet work 12/1. Watch out.
2 – Midnitesalright – Servis hits on 30% of his 2yo starters and this one just feels due for a big effort.
1 – Pier Forty – looked sharp last out and should get more speed to run into today.
5 – Scotty Brown – shows enough speed to get upfront early, but should sit just off the early spped and be ready late.
11 – Bobby Man – I think he pops the gate and sets the fractions before getting run down late.
2 – Yorkiepoo Princess – going for three straight today and should have a clear shot at the early lead. Short field with a monster outside so she’ll need to be at her absolute best.
5 – Vertical Oak – deserving favorite will be rolling early and will certainly force the issue with her rival to the inside. Can Cancel get her in position to overtake?
4 – Tigalalu – big price and has shown the ability to hang around in every race. Logical play to close in late and a must-use in the horizontal wagers.
4 – Sol the Freud – came up short in the last try but shows a nice recent form and a bullet work on 12/4.
5 – Blue Belt – should pop from the gate but there’s a few speedsters in here that could compromise.
1 – Summer Bourbon – should benefit from the speed in front of him but needs to work a trip from the inside.
2 – Hoponthebusgus – 2 for 2 ITM locally and 3 for 5 ITM at the distance, this one will sit a nice stalking trip and hopes to get some pace to run into.
9 – Miss Mystique – 1 for 1 over the local grass and got it done last-out at 34-1! Seems like she’s primed for a repeat but it feels like the 2 just has her beat in this spot.
7 – Enthusiastic Gal – late runner will try and pick up the pieces if this thing falls apart, and wouldn’t shock me if she gets the whole prize.
1 – Pauseforthecause – single for me in the horizontals, as I see her getting the early lead and never looking back.
2 – Bluegrass Jamboree & 5 – Byself – both horses will benefit from the early fractions and be running on well to round out the exacta and tri.
14 – 11 – 1
2018-2019 Belmont / Aqueduct Top Selections (as of 11/24)
- Week 1 (10/20) – 11: 5-2-1, 87.7% ROI ($22 wagered, $41.30 returned)
- Week 2 (11/3) – 10: 2-3-1, -47% ROI ($20 wagered, $10.60 returned)
- Week 3 (11/10) – 8: 1-3-1, -54% ROI ($16 wagered, $7.40 returned)
- Week 4 (11/17) – 7: 1-1-1, -73.5% ROI ($14 wagered, $3.70 returned)
- Week 5 (11/24) – 9: 3-1-0, 63.8 % ROI ($18 wagered, $29.50 returned)
- Week 6 (12/1) – 10: 2-1-3, -60.5% ROI ($20 wagered, $7.90 returned)
- Total: 55: 14-11-7, -8.7% ROI ($110 wagered, $100.40 returned)